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Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is absurd.
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One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we've been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. The bamboozle has captured us. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.
Carl Sagan
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3/5:
by Warren Myer at CoyoteBlog.com
February 1, 2010, 9:07 pm
The Tampa Rail blog has responded to my post criticizing Phoenix light rail (which the Tampa folks used as a glowing example of rail success). Remember I wrote, in part:
Look, I don’t think I have ever argued that Phoenix Light Rail was run poorly or didn’t have pretty trains. And I don’t know if moving 18,000 round trip riders a day in a metropolitan area of 4.3 million people is a lot or a little (though 0.4% looks small to me, that is probably just my “pre-web” thinking, whatever the hell that is).The problem is that it is freaking expensive, so it is a beautiful toy as long as one is not paying for it. Specifically, it’s capital costs are $75,000 per daily round trip rider, and every proposed addition is slated to be worse on this metric (meaning the law of diminishing returns dominates network effects, which is not surprising in this least dense of all American cities).
Already, like in Portland and San Francisco, the inflexibility of servicing this capital cost (it never goes away, even in recessions) is causing the city to give up bus service, the exact effect that caused rail to reduce rather than increase transit’s total share of commuters in that wet dream of all rail planners, Portland. Soon, we will have figures for net operating loss and energy use, but expect them to be disappointing, as they have in every other city (and early returns were that fares were covering less than 25% of operating costs).
Of course, as with all government issues, the ultimate argument is that I am some sort of Luddite for actually demanding definable results for billion dollar government spending
Sorry Coyote, save for the topic matter I’m afraid I’m just not going to be much fodder for you. We’re years past ‘it’s an expensive tax thing’.
We know that. We know rail like any capital project is expensive to execute and expensive to maintain – in dollars. But anyone who raises the math to me will wind up with the same big ’so what’. Community investment doesn’t bother everyone the same way and different people see different value. There’s no way you or I cold supernaturally understand the net benefit for or against light rail. We must simply choose to believe and pick our sides.
If you believe that just because rail is expensive they aren’t worthwhile, you need to explain every public vote that has gone for implementing and expanding rail systems around the world even though most operations are publicly subsidized.
Gotta run’em well, and, over time, integrate with a city, but LR is a carefree mobility solution in areas where people choose to support and pay for it.
See, they are well past my neolithic argument, into their little post-modernist world where aesthetics and political correctness trump any actual need to demonstrate money is being used well. Though it is interesting to see him resorting to faith as a justification.
I have two words for this person — “opportunity cost.” On one hand, the money for this project must be taken out of private hands to build the rail line — even leaving out the substantial individual liberties questions here, there is still some obligation to demonstrate the money is better used than it would have been in the private hands from which it is taken. Ditto, by the way, for the stimulus bill. On the other hand, to the extent that one wishes to spend government money to move people from A to B, one needs to demonstrate that this method is better than others. I would argue high speed rail fails both tests.
January 29, 2010, 2:49 pm
Tampa Rail writes (hat tip to a reader):
The new Phoenix light rail system is emerging as one of the most successful new systems in the country. This is especially poignant for Tampa because in scale, project scope, and demographics, Phoenix represents the apogee of operating examples.
Over the course of its first year the system has received high marks in community integration, stunning ridership figures, and respectful financial constraint (making tough decisions on long-term planning that do not inhibit the value of its starter-line status today). This is exactly what Hillsborough County is shooting for in its own implementation. A perfect balance of conservative control and benchmarking combined with progressive action and democratic freedom, the latter which may finally come to Hillsborough County in the form of a referendum. That all good stuff was achieved by such a strikingly similar auto-depenent culture is a great omen. A starter light rail system can be championed by civic conservatives (Mark Sharpe), and civic progressives (Ed Turanchik) to great outcome….
Both pieces I link to here embarass anti-rail or anti-tax groups who are, as the Phoenix article notes, “muted” if not definetively silenced. Their arguments against community investement were loud, often intelligent (once one bought into the ideological premise that rail systems must ‘pay for themselves’ and that community investement is somehow inherently evil – points not firmly established by any means among rationale individuals), and grossly atypical. I will forever hype on how mechanical, unchanging, and how pre-web these attacks were formulated.
Ooh, how can I overcome my embarrassment? Look, I don’t think I have ever argued that Phoenix Light Rail was run poorly or didn’t have pretty trains. And I don’t know if moving 18,000 round trip riders a day in a metropolitan area of 4.3 million people is a lot or a little (though 0.4% looks small to me, that is probably just my “pre-web” thinking, whatever the hell that is).
The problem is that it is freaking expensive, so it is a beautiful toy as long as one is not paying for it. Specifically, it’s capital costs are $75,000 per daily round trip rider, and every proposed addition is slated to be worse on this metric (meaning the law of diminishing returns dominates network effects, which is not surprising in this least dense of all American cities).
Already, like in Portland and San Francisco, the inflexibility of servicing this capital cost (it never goes away, even in recessions) is causing the city to give up bus service, the exact effect that caused rail to reduce rather than increase transit’s total share of commuters in that wet dream of all rail planners, Portland. Soon, we will have figures for net operating loss and energy use, but expect them to be disappointing, as they have in every other city (and early returns were that fares were covering less than 25% of operating costs).
PS- I get a lot of comments that I have some weird anti-train bias. Actually, I have an n-scale model railroad in one room of my house, and spent a lot of my teenage years traveling along rural rail lines and photographing trains. I love trains. I just don’t like stupid investments.
Update: I try to anticipate every argument in these posts. The one other argument is that rails takes congestion off roads. But for most of its length, Phoenix light rail displaced one lane of road in each direction. These lanes had a capacity as large or larger than what Phoenix light rail carries. The were also much cheaper to build. I must say I liked my quote from that post
If running trains requires, as you suggest, draining resources from millions of people just to move thousands, how is it sustainable?
3/2:
Wisconsin was the fourth-highest (after California, Florida, and Illinois) recipient of federal high-speed rail money, receiving $823 million to initiate Milwaukee-to-Madison service. The state’s application proposes to use this money to operate six trains a day between the two cities as a continuation of service from Chicago to Milwaukee.
The proposal does not call for high-speed (faster than 125 mph) or even moderate-speed (faster than 80 mph) rail. Instead, the top speeds will only be 79 mph until even more money is spent improving signaling to allow for “positive train control” (which insures trains will automatically stop when necessary even if the engineer fails to stop the train).
With three stops between Madison and Milwaukee, the average speed will be just 58 mph. That’s a bit higher than the current Badger Bus, which averages 42 to 52 mph depending on which bus you take. But the rail route is longer than the bus route, which means the train will take longer (1 hour 40 minutes) than the fastest bus (1 hour 30 minutes).
In addition, the bus stops in the middle of the University of Wisconsin campus in Madison, while current plans call for the train to terminate at Dane County Airport on the edge of town, with transit connections to downtown and the university. This gives even the slower (1 hour 50 minute) buses a huge competitive advantage.
Badger Bus operates on the same frequencies — six round trips per day — as proposed for the rail line. The state’s application estimates that rail fares will range from $20 to $33 compared with current bus fares of $17.50. It appears the state is chasing the snob market, that is, people too proud to ride a bus.
Considering that this is an 81-mile rail route, the price tag of $823 million (a small portion of which will go for improving Chicago-Milwaukee service) is roughly $10 million per mile. This is nearly three times the amount estimated by the Antiplanner for improving service to 110 mph. The high cost is due to the fact that the tracks between Madison and Milwaukee haven’t seen passenger service in many decades and some of them are in very poor shape.
A 47-mile segment owned by the Canadian Pacific is currently used for freight trains going up to 60 mph and by Amtrak at 79 mph. The state estimated it would cost $274 million, or nearly $6 million per mile, to bring improve these tracks and add enough sidings for 6 more trains per day. A 34-mile segment owned by the state of Wisconsin is in such poor shape that freight trains are limited to 10 mph. The state estimates it will cost $317 million, or more than $9 million per mile, to improve these tracks to 79 mph standards. (This doesn’t include the costs of locomotives, stations, rail cars, a maintenance facility, or environmental mitigation, which bring the total cost to $773 million or just under $10 million per mile.)
The state estimates that, in the fifth full year of operation, the Chicago-Milwaukee-Madison route will carry about 536,000 more passengers than the Chicago-Milwaukee route carried in 2008. Generously assuming that all of these new riders will be on the Milwaukee-Madison line, that’s an average of 734 trips each way per day, or about 122 people per train — roughly three bus loads (figuring two-thirds occupancy).
Amortizing the $773 million capital cost at 7 percent over 30 years results in an annualized cost of $61.7 million. The state also estimates it will need operating subsidies of $7.5 million for a total of $69.2 million in annual subsidies. That is a subsidy of nearly $130 per passenger trip.
The state estimates the rail line will reduce greenhouse gas emissions by a little more than 7,000 tons per year. This represents a cost of $9,700 per ton of greenhouse gas emissions abated. Considering that the price of carbon offsets currently ranges from $6 to $28 per ton, something that costs $9,700 per ton is a huge waste.
Of course, the rail line is also expected to reduce some other pollutants, but so too would any other action that would reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The trains are actually projected to emit more particulates than the cars they take off the road, and if the state has overestimated ridership, the trains will probably produce more of other pollutants as well.
The state claims the trains will help relieve congestion, but they aren’t a very cost-effective way of doing that either. Out of 7.8 million annual auto trips in the corridor, the trains will take only about 208,000 off the highway, or about 2.6 percent. There are far better ways of relieving 2.6 percent of congestion at far lower costs.
The environmental assessment estimates that 19 percent of rail passengers would otherwise take the bus, which means Badger Bus will lose 23 passengers per trip. If you believe the state’s numbers, this will probably put Badger Bus out of the Madison-Milwaukee market, and at least will force it to reduce its service to two or three trips per day.
What if, instead of six trains per day, Wisconsin increased bus service to 24 round trips per day? That would be a bus every half hour during peak periods. Some buses might stop at intermediate towns while others would be express. I estimate this would require about a dozen new buses costing about $6 million, or less than 1 percent of the cost of the trains. Of course, the environmental assessment for the rail line did not consider a bus alternative; it just considered “no build” and alternative rail routes. But I suspect the far greater frequencies of the bus alternative would compensate for the snob factor and attract all or nearly all of the riders who would take the trains.
The National Transit Database reveals that privately operated buses cost an average of about $5 per vehicle mile to operate (see column AI). Running 18 round trips per day would therefore cost less than $5.5 million per year. Compared with the projected $7.5 million operating loss from the trains, the state would save money even if no one rode the buses.
Of course, eventually the state hopes to spend a few hundred million more to increase rail top speeds to 110 mph. This will result in trip times as short as 69 minutes, for an average speed of 73 mph. That’s still not enough to justify the cost, especially since buses can still be competitive when you consider the additional time required to get from the airport to any destination in Madison.
What is really going on is a very different kind of snob factor: Madison wants trains because trains are supposedly cool, not because anyone in Madison will ever really need to ride one. It especially wants trains if someone else will pay for them. When a unsubsidized bus ride costs $17.50 and a train ride (including amortized capital costs and operating subsidies) costs $150, it is hard to imagine that anyone really thinks the train makes sense.
1/31:
The $4.4 billion question: Will Central Floridians take the train?
SunRail, high-speed rail are coming -- but ridership remains in question
Central Florida is in for a culture shock.
Dependent for generations on the automobile for virtually all means of transit, the region relatively soon will have not one, but two, new passenger trains running through it.
But will people ride them when, as President Barack Obama pointed out in Tampa last week, "we don't love gas prices, but we love our cars?"
That could well become the $4.4 billion question.
Critics maintain the two trains will be a massive waste of money, rolling along the tracks with largely empty seats. After all, they say, the only time most people notice any trains now – whether is it the occasional Amtrak or the more frequent freight traffic – is when they have to impatiently wait for them to pass through an intersection.
"People want the convenience of cars, especially when needing to get to far-flung destinations in our urbanely sprawled Central Florida," said William Shallcross, 54, and a Winter Park developer.
Winter Park will have a station for the first new train slated for the area. Called SunRail, the $1.2 billion system would operate on a 61-mile set of tracks running from DeLand in Volusia County through Winter Park and downtown Orlando to Poinciana in Osceola County. The first 30 miles of the route should be ready in late 2012, with the entire setup coming on line in 2014.
The second train, a high-speed system that will cost $3.2 billion when the cost of land is included, will link Orlando International Airport with Lakeland and Tampa by late 2014 or early 2015.
Right now, no connection between the two trains is set, although officials have started discussing ways to join them, perhaps at the SunRail Sand Lake Road station in south Orange County.
That gap bothers John Gilbert, an 81-year-old retired aerospace engineer from Lake Conway.
"Tampa gets a high-speed train, but we have to go out to the airport," Gilbert said. "We have all these politicians, all kinds of things that get in the way."
The key to winning ridership is being on time and operating safely, said Bonnie Arnold, marketing director for Tri-Rail, the commuter train that has run along Interstate 95 in South Florida for 20 years.
"If people don't think you are reliable and don't think you are safe, they aren't going to ride you," she said.
Tri-Rail, which also hooks into a light rail system that circulates in downtown Miami, was the first commuter train launched in South Florida, which like metro Orlando had no real experience with rail transit.
The train started during an expansion of I-95, which clogged traffic in the state's most densely populated area. Arnold said some of the best advertising the train had was breezing by motorists stopped in traffic jams.
Now carrying about 13,000 passengers a day, Arnold said Tri-Rail constantly promotes itself at festivals and co-promotes with fast-food restaurants. It also offers a 25 percent fare discount to people who sign up at work.
Perhaps the biggest incentive for ridership will come with time and the traffic it brings, said Dave Grovdahl, chief transportation planner for MetroPlan, which sets transit policy in Orange, Osceola and Seminole counties.
"What do you do when you can no longer make your trips because of congestion on the roads?" he asked.
Grovdahl said many of the major roads in Central Florida – I-4, Colonial Drive, State Road 436 – are hemmed in by development or the environment and cannot be widened. That means the congestion of today will only worsen.
"You can't dynamite the high rises in downtown Orlando," he said, referring to often-jammed Orange Avenue. "You're stuck with it. It's at the max."
Buses, he said, provide short-term relief because they can get drivers out of their cars, but they are prone to get stuck in the same traffic jams as every other vehicle.
Grovdahl also predicted that gasoline prices will rise again, possibly hitting the $4 a gallon mark, like they did during summer 2008. Ridership broke records on mass-transit systems across the nation that year.
But Shallcross contends the expense of tickets – it could cost $29 one way to ride from OIA to Tampa and at least $2.50 on SunRail – is likely too much for many people. He also questions whether either train will be able to get anyone close enough to where they are going to avoid having to also ride a bus or call a cab.
Winter Park City Commissioner Beth Dillaha is especially adamant about her opposition to SunRail.
"I don't believe that many commuters will be willing to invest that much time and money,'' she said. "People care about how to get from point A to point B as efficiently, in terms of time and money, as possible and most do not want to be held 'hostage' without their cars and the ability to come and go as needed."
Lynx, the regional bus service in metro Orlando, is in the early stages of figuring out what it will take to work with the trains, including coming up with new routes and how the fares will be split.
Jack Couture, a 66-year-old retired banker and frequent Lynx rider, said the only way people will consider the trains is if they offer "accessibility and availability — let's face it."
Ultimately, though, a train can bypass buses, cars and trucks stuck in traffic, freeing up passengers to read or work during the trip, Grovdahl said.
"They take the stress out," he said.
1/5:
In Volusia, there is still work to be done on SunRail
By Al Everson
BEACON STAFF WRITER
posted Dec 18, 2009
While supporters of SunRail hail the Florida Senate's passage of the bill authorizing the project, there is still a great deal of work to be done before the train hits the track.
Volusia County Chair Frank Bruno sees a need for more discussion among the local partners, a new agreement on funding the long-planned commuter-rail system, and, not least, more money from Washington.
"The locals need help," Bruno said at the conclusion of the County Council's Dec. 10 meeting, as council members discussed the status of the $1.2 billion project.
The County Council and the four other government partners — Seminole, Orange and Osceola counties, and the City of Orlando — ratified operating and funding agreements in 2007, but those arrangements are now outdated.
"You're going to be asked to sign a new agreement," County Manager James Dinneen told the County Council. "The terms are all different now."
SunRail is supposed to connect Volusia County with Orlando, using the CSX rail tracks for commuter trains. The first phase of the service will connect DeBary and Downtown Orlando, and the second phase will extend the service northward to DeLand and southward from Orlando to Poinciana.
SunRail is being touted as an alternative to traffic-clogged Interstate 4. The Florida Department of Transportation is also a partner in the project.
When it approved the local-share agreements more than two years ago, the County Council committed Volusia to pay as much as $67 million of the capital and infrastructure costs of the commuter-rail system.
That cost includes rail stations in DeBary and DeLand, as well as signalization. The county would sell bonds, and paying back the debt would cost approximately $150 million over 30 years.
The annual payment would be $4.8 million to $5 million, Bruno estimated, and the county would probably pay the debt service from its general fund, which derives its cash from property taxes.
But the projected cost for Volusia and the other localities may be higher in 2009 or 2010 than in 2007.
"The project cost may have increased beyond what it is in the [current] agreement. There's reason to believe that it has," County Attorney Dan Eckert said.
While Bruno said much of the county's expense for commuter rail would be related to economic development — because of anticipated extra employment created by the system itself and new development around rail depots — he also said Volusia will need additional funding from Washington.
Bruno said he had talked with U.S. Rep. John Mica after the Florida Legislature passed the liability and rail-funding measure Dec. 8, and learned Mica had secured an additional $60 million for SunRail. However, Bruno noted, it is not clear how the additional funding will be allocated.
Mica confirmed the $60 million is in addition to the original $300 million already committed to SunRail, plus as much as $250 million that may be used for the project. Mica, who serves on the House Transportation Committee, said the revised cost estimates will become available early in 2010.
"They should have the figures in February or March, and they would submit them to the Federal Transit Administration and the Office of Management and Budget," Mica said.
He predicted construction of new infrastructure and acquisition of the commuter trains "may actually start in the summer, June maybe."
"We had support from the Bush administration. We have support from the Obama administration," he concluded.
12/28:
Making the trains work
The gist: Rail's future hinges in large part on how a new rail commission does its job.
December 28, 2009
More than 100 legislators approved the bill this month that fosters passenger train systems throughout Florida. Nine people, however, soon will be charged with moving those train systems forward, helping shape, sustain and sometimes connect them.
Will the fledgling Florida Statewide Passenger Rail Commission be up to it? Its members must monitor the train projects, and can direct audits of them. They're required to advise the Legislature and state transportation officials making up a newly formed Florida Rail Enterprise on strategies for planning, financing, operating and maintaining the systems.
The commission must be up to it — if SunRail, Tri-Rail and hoped-for rail lines for Tampa and Jacksonville and a bullet train connecting Tampa, Orlando and possibly Miami are to run well separately, and in concert with one another.
The group of nine can pull it off if two things happen, above all others:
First, the governor, Senate president and House speaker must appoint exceptionally qualified people to the commission. Goes without saying, right? Not in Florida.
Last year Gov. Charlie Crist appointed the wife of his top lawyer to be chairwoman of a commission that handles labor issues. Sara Gonzalez's qualifications amounted to being a dermatologist's assistant.
Mr. Crist also seemingly showed a preference for connections over qualifications when he filled vacancies on the board of the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority. Real-estate attorney Jim Palmer got tapped, though in his application he didn't bother to explain his interest in the post. He had, however, been a Republican fundraiser and organizer..
Florida's governor, Senate president and House speaker each will appoint three members to the rail commission. Their terms eventually will run four years. To its credit, the Legislature didn't give them carte blanche to appoint anyone they want. The governor must appoint someone with a background in the environment, someone with a legislative background and someone with a general business background. Individuals with legal, financial, civil engineering and transportation-construction experience also must fill the commission's ranks, according to directives given the legislative leaders.
Mr. Crist says he'll appoint visionaries to the board. Still, there's nothing to prevent a governor or legislative leader from naming a businessman who wrote him campaign checks, but who knows little about railroads.
And unlike in the case of Ms. Gonzalez, the Senate doesn't get to confirm the rail commission appointments. (Facing the Senate's review and widespread criticism of her appointment, Ms. Gonzalez resigned.)
Second, those appointed to the commission must act in the best interests of passenger rail throughout the state. It took three long years to pass the rail legislation, in large part because lawmakers acted like bit players from the Balkans, needing to know first what was in it for them and theirs. Decisions on rail in Florida instead should be guided by need, cost, connectivity and fairness.
But the legislation creating the rail commission doesn't address where its members should come from. It's possible that a majority could at any given time hail from South Florida, Tampa or Jacksonville. Or from Orlando. None of those scenarios would likely serve Florida well.
Commission appointments are expected in the next 30 to 60 days. Those making the appointments — and those receiving them — hold Florida's passenger-rail future in their hands. They mustn't fumble it.
Orlando Sentinel
12/23:
My Word: Rail seals Central Park's fate
By Will Graves
December 23, 2009
The politicians got their legacy-burnishing deal. Winter Park residents got dozens of noisy, full-sized commuter-rail buses circulating daily in tranquil, pristine Central Park and doing irreparable damage to this private sanctuary.
Our historic train station for destination Amtrak passengers, as opposed to transient commuter-rail passengers, will never look the same.
You can bet that I was against commuter rail, right? If you want to succumb to your preconceived ideological notions, suit yourself. The fact is that I was never against commuter rail in the right location, under the right circumstances, and at the right time.
I rode commuter rail to school from the second grade onward. Even at that young age, I wasn't naive enough to believe that commuter rail provides jobs and road widening doesn't. And I realized that commuter rail complements widened roads. It doesn't replace them.
U.S. Rep. John Mica and state Rep. Dean Cannon have assured continued Interstate-4 gridlock by diverting attention and dollars from road-widening efforts. Wider roads actually alleviate interstate gridlock much more effectively than commuter rail, with its 4,300 daily passengers initially, could ever hope to do.
It's unforgivable and disingenuous to pretend otherwise.
Had we been wise enough to run a federally incentivized commuter-rail train down the middle of the interstate like they do in northern Virginia, I would have championed the cause. We couldn't even figure out how to spare Central Park by serving Winter Park's limited needs with the Florida Hospital stop.
Oh, and one more thing...
Please don't ask us to pretend that The National Trust for Historic Preservation didn't grant a "threatened" listing to protect Central Park from the character-changing effects of commuter rail, the commuter-rail station and the commuter-rail buses.
Don't ask us to pretend that the sole commuter-rail manufacturer didn't go out of business, that Tri-Rail doesn't need a bailout despite near-record ridership, and that the 61.5-mile commuter-rail route is densely populated by those with urban-demographic profiles and mass-transit cultural inclinations.
And don't ask us to pretend that a large corporation isn't fleecing taxpayers, and that the Winter Park mayor's hospital employees will use their commuter-rail trips to snap up $395 handbags in all colors to stimulate Winter Park's economy.
Wait until you see what Cannon and Mica have planned for you next: an industrialized coastline and oil drilling within five miles of our world-class, pristine, hurricane-prone beaches.
Protecting your Florida environmental tourism economy isn't on their list of concerns.
Will Graves, an environmental activist, lives in Winter Park.
12/19:
New York City has the greatest transit system in America. It carries a third of all transit rides, and well over half of all rail transit rides in the U.S. Fares cover close to two-thirds of its operating costs, more than any other transit system. New York’s Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) is what every other transit system aspires to be.
Broke.
So broke that the MTA is planning “service cuts that would affect nearly every bus, subway and commuter rail rider in New York.” These include the complete elimination of two subway lines and many bus routes, along with reductions in frequencies on many other routes and cuts in services to disabled riders. These cuts are deemed necessary to close a $383 million gap in the agency’s 2010 budget — more money than the entire annual budgets of most transit agencies.
The most controversial part of the plan is a proposal to start charging children, who have historically been given free bus and subway rides to school. This alone is supposed to make up for almost half the gap in the budget — but anytime you start charging for something that has previously been free you are asking for trouble.
Some think the MTA is pulling a Washington Monument strategy, trying to find the most visible and painful cuts so taxpayers and appropriators will fall all over themselves to find more funds for the agency. Maybe.
But the real question is how we expect to pay for transit systems that we run at such huge losses every year. In cities where transit carries only 1 or 2 percent of travel and 2 to 10 percent of commuters, the answer is to tax all non-transit riders a little bit each. But when half of all commuters use transit, as in New York City, it is harder to find non-users you can tax to make up for the losses, and they tend to resist paying for it.
Transit’s friends like to claim that it is sustainable transportation. Actually, it is the least sustainable form of transportation in the United States.
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SunRail bills may beat train to station
December 2, 2009
If the $1.2 billion SunRail commuter train finally wins approval in the state Legislature during the special session that convenes today, the first leg of it could start rolling down the tracks in 2012.
The bills would start rolling in, too - some almost right away and others in seven years.
And the tab to Central Florida taxpayers would be millions of dollars annually, possibly for as long as the train operates.
SunRail backers concede the obligations might sound large but contend they really are manageable, given the size of the government budgets involved.
"It's not going to put us out of business," said Jim Harrison, Orange County's top transportation administrator.
But critics counter that the train, expected to carry 4,300 passengers daily at first, is an unaffordable luxury hatched during a dismal economy that shows few signs of recovery.
Winter Park City Commissioner Beth Dillaha said she fears her city might be unable to pay its share, nearly $700,000 a year for operations and maintenance after a seven-year state subsidy of those expenses ends. And that could rise if ridership is less than anticipated. The city also is on the hook for an additional $3 million for the train depot and tracks.
"Bottom line," she said, "Winter Park signed onto this deal with too many unknowns and during the height of the economy and in a peak revenue-generating year."
Supporters, though, say the costs are outweighed by the chance to have a mass-transit system that could help move the region away from building and widening so many roads, a transportation approach that contributes to suburban sprawl.
"This is an incredible opportunity to move forward," said Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer, who added that the 61-mile line from Volusia through Orlando to Osceola County should create thousands of jobs through construction and related development around the stations.
Dyer also points out that the state will be covering operating and maintenance costs for the first seven years of the train's existence, giving leaders time to adjust their budgets and look for funding sources.
Finding permanent funding that does not dip into an agency's daily budget is a good idea, said Jeff Koons, chairman of the agency that runs the Tri-Rail commuter train in South Florida.
"You know what seven years is? It's like tomorrow," Koons said.
Tri-Rail, which carries about 13,000 passengers daily, could go out of business if the state Legislature does not come up with money for its operations and maintenance during the special session. Lawmakers might tap funds that could include fees raised during the spring session, such as those for car tags and drivers licenses.
But though so-called "O&M" expenses do not kick in for seven years in Central Florida, the local share for building the system could start coming due next year, if the Legislature approves the liability agreement SunRail needs to operate. Two previous attempts have failed.
The total capital charge locally would be $153.7 million. It would help pay for 17 stations and track improvements. That cost would be spread proportionately over seven counties and cities: Volusia, Seminole, Orange and Osceola, plus Orlando, Winter Park and Maitland.
The state would pay an additional $153 million and the federal government would pay $300 million to get SunRail moving. The final application for federal money cannot be made by the state without the liability agreement. State and local officials say the project will not be started without the federal grant.
Orlando likely will borrow the $13.6 million it would owe for construction, while other governments, most notably Seminole, Orange and Maitland, already have saved up for their payment, putting it into separate accounts.
"We're a conservative county," said Seminole County Commission Chairman Bob Dallari. "We believe in paying our way."
The state expects to pay $64 million underwriting SunRail's daily costs before turning it over to Central Florida governments in about 2019.
Winter Park, which is hoping for the regional funding that could relieve it of operating costs, is putting $77,000 aside annually to pay for 2019's costs, just in case the extra money isn't found.
Dyer said the $2 million annually the city will owe for capital costs should be paid off before the operating expenses are due. Those costs, plus an annual reserve commitment and other debt obligations, would be about $2.3 million annually for Orlando.
That payment, he said, is equivalent to what the city normally spends each year on sidewalks in an annual overall budget of $864 million.
In Tallahassee, the plan is for the House to take up the bill and pass it out to the Senate by Monday. That would allow the Senate to finish its work in time for the Friday start of Hanukkah.
"This job comes with a lot of demands and a lot of requirements and, oftentimes, some inconvenience," House Speaker Larry Cretul, R-Ocala, said Wednesday.
Several thorny topics, from SunRail's total cost to union concerns over jobs, are expected to spark debate and even threaten to stall the package in the Senate next week.
And SunRail's No. 1 opponent, Sen. Paula Dockery, R-Lakeland, promised Wednesday to continue her fight.
"Yes," she said in a written statement, "we need a state transportation strategy that includes rail transit. But a hastily called special session is no way to make a hundred-year decision on transportation. Taxpayers are tired of Wall Street subsidies and corporate giveaways. [The state] can do better. It must do better. They should be working for the taxpayers, not the special interests."
But the potential to land federal rail dollars, especially for a proposed high-speed train that would link Orlando with Tampa, now outweighs arguments that stalled SunRail the past two years, House backers said.
"These dollars will have a long-term impact on the state of Florida," Cretul said.
**************************************************************************
December 03, 2009
Will 3rd time be charm for SunRail?
Special session to address commuter rail system
Associated Press
TALLAHASSEE-- Advocates are hoping the lure of federal stimulus dollars will overcome opposition to creating a Central Florida commuter rail system and shoring up an existing line in South Florida during an nine-day special session that starts today.
The state is seeking $2.6 billion in federal stimulus money to also begin building a high-speed rail system between Tampa and Orlando that eventually may extend to Miami.
Florida, though, is one of 24 states seeking $50 billion -- more than six times the $8 billion available. High-speed projects with links to commuter rail systems are expected to have a leg up in the competition for the stimulus money.
"We have been informed directly, or rather indirectly, from our federal friends that if we can accomplish something before the end of the year, we have a much better opportunity for the high-speed rail component," Gov. Charlie Crist said.
Legislation to create the proposed SunRail system in the Orlando area failed during the past two regular legislative sessions. It passed in the House both times but was rejected in the Senate, including a 23-16 bipartisan vote earlier this year.
That measure drew opposition in part because it also had a $2-per-day car rental surtax in three South Florida counties to help subsidize their financially troubled Tri-Rail system.
SunRail is expected to cost $2.66 billion over 30 years with the state, federal and local governments each contributing $700 million and the rest coming from fares, said Rep. Gary Aubuchon, a Cape Coral Republican who is sponsoring the special session bill in the House.
Aubuchon said SunRail would be transformational even if Florida doesn't get the high-speed dollars.
"In the short term, we will be able to put thousands of Floridians to work," he said. "We will be able to alleviate congestion along the I-4 corridor from Poinciana toDeLand. And we will be able, in the long term, to transform not just our mode of transportation in the state but really our land-use development along those corridors."
Besides the attraction of high-speed stimulus dollars, the rental car surtax has been dropped. Instead, the state would give Tri-Rail up to $15 million per year from Florida's Transportation Trust Fund on top of its annual $18.9 million state subsidy.
State economists last month increased their revenue estimate for the trust fund by $389 million, or about 2 percent, through June 30, 2015. The fund is supported by fuel taxes, and the economists now expect higher gasoline consumption than previously forecast.
Other stumbling blocks, though, remain.
The SunRail plan calls for purchasing 61.5 miles of track from CSX. Labor unions are against the deal because they say about 100 CSX workers and eventually several times that number would be replaced by state-contracted employees who likely would be nonunion.
The Republican-controlled Legislature's leadership has rejected proposals that would protect those union jobs. Florida AFL-CIO President Mike Williams calls the legislation "government-sanctioned union-busting."
Aubuchon contends the project would affect no more than eight union employees who would be offered a handsome severance package or a chance to transfer to another CSX job at company expense.
"In this environment, I still find it remarkable that with over a million Floridans out of work, somebody would want a guarantee that they would keep their job in perpetuity," Aubuchon said.
The deal also would let CSX continue to haul freight on the tracks. That's led to questions over liability for accidents involving CSX trains.
SunRail's most vocal legislative critic, Sen. Paula Dockery, argues the $432 million price tag for the CSX track is too high. The Lakeland Republican also has objected to part of the plan that would divert long, noisy, slow-running freight trains through her hometown.
*********************************************************************
December 02, 2009
Lawmakers get one more shot on passenger rail
It's time the Florida Legislature got on board for passenger rail service.
At stake: SunRail, a proposed commuter-rail service that would link west Volusia County to downtown Orlando and Osceola County; additional aid for TriRail, South Florida's mass transit system; and $2.5 billion in federal funding for high-speed rail between Tampa and Orlando.
Lawmakers should approve the latest version of legislation that would clear the tracks for passenger-rail service. It isn't perfect, but leaders have negotiated a pact that is significantly better than the bargain rejected in the spring by the Legislature. Even better, the legislation approving the deal -- to be presented in a special session starting Thursday -- leaves room for further improvement.
In calling the special session, Senate President Jeff Atwater and House Speaker Larry Cretul laid out the details of the plan. The basics remain: The Legislature would purchase 61 miles of track from rail giant CSX to be used for SunRail commuter trains from DeLand to Poinciana and approve additional aid for the financially ailing TriRail.
The CSX deal has caused the most controversy, and rightly so. As originally negotiated, it was a lavish giveaway. It's still generous under the new plan, given that CSX will be leasing back the track to run freight trains 12 hours of each day. But CSX has agreed to accept some of the legal liability for any accidents on the line, most notably for any accidents involving freight trains. CSX would also be on the hook for a $10 million insurance deductible if two trains collide.
The proposed legislation also directs state transportation officials to study the impact of increased freight traffic on Lakeland. State Sen. Paula Dockery, R-Lakeland, has been SunRail's most adamant critic, in part because north-south freight traffic would probably be shifted from the east coast line to rails that run right through the city's downtown. It's a valid concern, and the proposed legislation would allow the state to spend real-estate tax money on attempts to lessen the impact. (The legislation would commit money from the same source to TriRail.)
By itself, SunRail would be worth pursuing, as a crucial part of Florida's effort to reduce automobile traffic and improve mass transit. The project also promises a straightforward economic boost. Over its 20-year construction period, SunRail is projected to create more than 100,000 construction jobs and more than 21,000 permanent jobs.
But U.S. Secretary of Transportation Ray LaHood provided an additional, powerful incentive to move ahead on SunRail in October, when he delivered a blunt message to state lawmakers: "Get your act together" on commuter rail, he said, or Florida will lose not only the federal money earmarked for SunRail, but the chance for billions in high-speed rail projects in the state.
Lou Frey, an Orlando attorney and political commentator, cracked Tuesday morning on WMFE 90.7 FM's "Intersection" talk show that the proposed rail deal has had "more deaths than an assassin movie." But key state leaders -- most notably U.S. Rep. John Mica -- have been dogged in their refusal to give up on SunRail. LaHood's ultimatum was clear: Florida has one more chance to get rail service on track. If lawmakers don't move forward, the chance of building any kind of mass-transit network for the state looks dim.
11/26:
Legislators plan for Dec. 3 start of rail special session
House and Senate leaders OK plans for SunRail, TriRail
By Aaron Deslatte
Orlando Sentinel
8:29 a.m. EST, November 26, 2009
TALLAHASSEE - -
State lawmakers are penciling in next week as the starting point for a special legislative session to pave the way for Central Florida's $1.2 billion SunRail commuter train project.
The Florida Legislature's presiding officers sent a memo to lawmakers Wednesday, telling them a deal is close to shore up both SunRail and provide a bailout for TriRail, the cash-strapped transit system in South Florida. The memo advises lawmakers to consider making travel plans to get to Tallahassee late next week to start work.
The special session has been tentatively planned to go down the week of Dec. 7-11. But because the Jewish observance of Hanukkah starts on Dec. 11, legislative leaders may ask the rank-and-file to get an early start on committee hearings to go over the legislation.
Gov. Charlie Crist and legislative leaders have been quietly massaging the details of a special session to resolve liability-insurance issues for the proposed SunRail commuter system through Orlando, as well as provide a dedicated funding stream for South Florida's commuter system. Tri-Rail already gets $20 million annually from the state and needs $27 million more to cover operating costs. It also faces the possibility of having to repay the federal government $256 million if it folds.
"At this time, I am optimistic that we are very close to having legislation that achieves this objective, while addressing the concerns raised by Senators regarding liability for freight and passenger rail and a dedicated, sustainable funding source for commuter rail," said Senate President Jeff Atwater, R-North Palm Beach, in the memo.
He promised another update on Monday.
Federal transit officials have stressed to Florida that if it hopes to secure any of its requested $2.5 billion in federal funding for a proposed high-speed rail link between Orlando and Tampa, it should try to demonstrate a commitment to those inter-connected commuter rail projects.
Behind the scenes, legislative staff have been haggling over how to structure financial support to Tri-Rail, the wording of the insurance agreement that would shield rail-car operators from lawsuits, and starting dates.
The initial idea was to include a new $2-a-day rental-car "surcharge" in the rail package to prop up Tri-Rail. But last week, House Speaker Larry Cretul, R-Ocala, called that option a "heavy-lift" in the current political climate. The Legislature raised taxes and fees by $2.3 billion last spring to balance the state's budget.
Now lawmakers think they can tap surplus gas-tax revenue due to come into the state's road-building trust fund in future years.
"Constructive conversations in recent days have encouraged the hope that a special session on passenger rail may in fact occur," Cretul said in the memo to House members and staff.
The rental-car surcharge idea isn't totally dead, though. Legislative leaders have been tinkering with the idea of setting up a rail authority that would disburse funds in the future not just to Tri-Rail, but also future commuter systems in Central Florida, Jacksonville and Tampa, as a way to build support.
11/25:
Dockery: Sunrail Is A Waste Of Money
Tuesday, November 24, 2009 12:12:45 AM
Reported by Stephanie Coueignoux
WINTER PARK -- "I can set the house that you just bought for me on fire and you're responsible for the liability. That's the deal that we have."
Strong words from State Senator Paula Dockery on the subject of Sunrail. She stopped by the Winter Park city commission to speak on the issue.
People in the education community are now asking their elected officials if they can guarantee no cuts will be made to education if commuter rail passes.
A lot of folks were not happy to see her there and definitely made their feelings known.
Despite that, Dockery said she's glad she had a chance to speak her mind that, in theory, the commuter rail is a good idea, but in reality, it's a financial disaster.
"I would suggest it's highly unusual that a state elected official that doesn't represent Winter Park desires to speak here to this body."
That's how Winter Park Mayor Ken Bradley introduced State Senator Paula Dockery at Monday's city commission meeting.
The Republican Senator was there to speak out against Sunrail, a project she feels is a waste of taxpayers money. A project, Winter Park residents voted for in 2007.
"I want to know why we have the biggest opponent of Sunrail here," one man wanted to know.
Dockery says the idea of Sunrail is right, but leaving the residents to foot the bill is wrong.
Orange County Commissioner Bill Segal, who supports Sunrail, believes Dockery is only here for her own political purposes.
"It's a last ditch stand," Segal said. "They're all just here to stir the pot."
Segal says while Sunrail will cost money. It's an investment for a new, more urban Central Florida.
11/21:
New Voices: A dark comedy called SunRail becomes tragedy
By Christian W. Waugh
Special to the Sentinel
November 21, 2009
SunRail didn't start out as a bad joke. The citizens of Central Florida, no longer amused by losing weeks of their lives every year staring at bumpers, demanded alternatives. With no new private solutions on the horizon, citizens justifiably turned to policymakers to fill the gap for their demand with an increased supply of transportation methods that would alleviate the agony of the after-work commute and perhaps even create more pleasant routes home.
And policymakers listened. Local partners in Central Florida unanimously approved the plan and the state Legislature has dutifully debated its merits. Still, somehow, the Legislature has voted it down on every occasion. What gives?
A lot, it turns out. The SunRail plan is one of the most market-insulated, destined-for-red-ink boondoggles to ever grace the face of a ballot. The route roughly parallels Interstate 4 and will be a less-flexible and less-rapid form of transit than for those who drive a car.
And if you do want to brave the crowded SunRail morning or after-work commute, you will still need to drive to the station.
Economically speaking, most people value their ability to go to lunch with whomever they please or leave work quickly in case of an emergency. On this account, it is doubtful many drivers will be willing to trade down to SunRail.
Want proof? Check out the disastrously unprofitable and unused TriRail in South Florida. It lost $80 million last year, and now lawmakers are insanely considering a tax on rental cars, which would undermine our tourist economy, to make up for it.
But that's only part of why SunRail is becoming funny business.
No real business could survive if it only brought in 20 percent of its operating and maintenance expenses from its customers.
And that's an optimistic estimate of how much of SunRail's costs will be paid for by the people who ride it. The rest, in this case, will be paid for and subsidized by local and state governments, whose money comes from us.
That means the vast majority, who prefer cars, will be subsidizing the few who ride SunRail. Further, it will be yet another budget obligation that hamstrings our Legislature in future years into deficit spending and/or tax hikes.
Less romantic comedy than dark, SunRail turns positively tragic when one considers the original potential for such a project. Although it is almost impossible to have a profitable mass-transit system, there is at least one place that it has succeeded: Hong Kong. Its Mass Transit Railway started off as a government enterprise but was privatized in 2000. Today it makes hundreds of millions of dollars every year.
Further, the MTR issues Octopus smart cards that are like a mix between the debit cards one simply swipes by a sensor and the Buy Local Orlando discount cards. Octopus cards are taken at every 7-Eleven, Circle K, and McDonald's, among other businesses. They are a creative and convenient store of value that gives people an incentive to ride the MTR.
Finally, the MTR develops its stations with commercial opportunities in mind, offering space to vendors, which in turn brings more people to the service. This could be one way of overcoming the daunting population-density problem for Orlando mass transit.
Have any state legislators considered hiring consultants from Hong Kong, where experience and expertise abound in popular, profitable rail systems? The poverty of commercial imagination and innovation, the absence of business sense and the obvious lack of vision should mean SunRail is given the hook and is pulled off the stage.
SunRail would be funny, if it weren't so sad.
11/17:
SunRail hits new snag -- how to pay for TriRail
Aaron Deslatte
Tallahassee Bureau
November 17, 2009
TALLAHASSEE -
Florida lawmakers' efforts to rush through legislation authorizing the SunRail commuter train in a special lawmaking session next month may have hit a new snag -- convincing federal transportation officials the state can pay for its end of the deal.
But the issue this time isn't the $1.2-billion SunRail project – which died in the Florida Senate during the past two sessions – but how to create a dedicated funding stream for South Florida's rail system, Tri-Rail.
Federal transit officials have repeatedly stressed that if Florida hopes to secure any of the $8 billion in stimulus dollars available nationally for high-speed rail projects, it must demonstrate a commitment to interconnected commuter rail projects.
Tri-Rail, the commuter system that runs through Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties, has long favored enactment of a $2-a-day "surcharge" on cars rented in the three counties to help finance the cash-strapped system. The idea has been pitched in Tallahassee for years and passed several years ago -- with the provision that it first go to a public vote in the counties imposing the tax -- but then-Gov. Jeb Bush vetoed it.
Legislation this past session called for the measure to be approved by county commissions in each county – and then be put to a referendum, either in 2010 or 2014.
And that's why federal transit officials aren't sold on the surcharge idea -- because it could be rejected by voters down the road.
Federal officials said they "want to know that the funding source is sustainable and risk-free," Senate President Jeff Atwater, R- North Palm Beach, said in an interview Tuesday.
"Three years from now, you have a referendum in South Florida and it fails, was Florida really committed to rail? ... That's the question we're trying to figure out."
Atwater said the feedback came from two officials he and other lawmakers met with recently in Washington: Karen Rae, deputy administrator of the Federal Railroad Administration; and Peter Rogoff, Federal Transit Administration administrator.
"They didn't say it was a deal-killer if it had a referendum, but it is a concern."
Still, he and others acknowledged that imposing a new tax on travelers during a special session could prove a prickly political dilemma for rail backers.
Atwater said the final rail bill may contain the rental-car surcharge, or "maybe you see something completely different" -- something like devoting a portion of the state's gas tax to rail, instead of traditional road-building projects.
Lawmakers and Gov. Charlie Crist acknowledged Tuesday that time was short to hammer out those finer points in time to hold a special session in December.
Crist said he was "hopefully optimistic" that a special session would be scheduled within the next week, although he stayed out of the details of how to pay for South Florida's system. Last spring, his office was adamant about not moving forward with similar rail legislation unless the $2 rental-car tax required ratification by a public vote of the counties imposing it.
"My preference would be for a referendum, but we have to stay open-minded," the governor said.
Attorney General Bill McCollum reiterated at Tuesday's Cabinet meeting that the Legislature needed to act quickly to land federal rail support.
'We need SunRail to go through. Rental cars, by and large, are rented by people who come to visit our state. It is a transportation issue," McCollum said, adding he didn't consider the surcharge a new tax.
"Somebody's got to be paying for that, and the best people are those who come to the state and use the [road] system."
State Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink said she also went to Washington and heard from federal transit officials that Florida needed to get its commuter-rail systems on firm financial footing to draw down high-speed dollars.
Sink had been a critic of the SunRail project two years ago but said Tuesday she wanted to "bring this deal in for a landing." But she shied away from endorsing the rental-car tax to pay for Tri-Rail.
"I'm not well-informed right now about what the different revenue sources might be," Sink said. "I just have to see the details."
11/10:
Riders Oppose MARTA Fare Increases, Service Cuts
By Jonathan Springston, Senior Staff Writer, The Atlanta Progressive News (June 18, 2009)
(APN) ATLANTA – MARTA officials are spending this week making its case to the public for fare increases and service cuts while giving riders a chance to voice their opinions.
Several dozen citizens packed council chambers at City Hall Tuesday night, June 16, 2009. Many signed up to speak out on proposals in MARTA’s fiscal year 2010 budget, which is designed to close a multi-million dollar operating budget gap.
Many complained existing conditions on MARTA are less than great. Samantha Boyce, a regular rider of the 24 Belvedere bus, noted riders already suffer through unreliable buses, rude drivers, and long wait times that result in riders being late to work and other obligations. Further cuts would only make the problems worse, she said.
"We’re the ones who are suffering the most," Boyce said. "We are at their mercy."
For the last decade, MARTA has been forced to dip into reserves to make up budget gaps. But recent political and economic realities have put MARTA in an even tighter corner.
The poor economy is driving down expected sales tax revenue from Fulton and DeKalb Counties, which accounts for half of MARTA’s operating budget, by $74 million.
The Georgia General Assembly left the agency in a bind earlier this year after it failed to pass SB 120. This legislation would have lifted State restrictions, allowing MARTA to access funds in its capital reserve, about $65 million, to make up the operating gap.
Walter Jones, Director of MARTA’s Office of Management and Budget, said Tuesday the State is imposing "outdated and outmoded restrictions" on the agency and noted Georgia provides no funding to the agency.
To avoid disaster, MARTA is proposing a package of changes to make up the gap for FY 2010, which begins July 1: raising the fare by $.25 to $2.00; a $1 parking fee increase at four lots; no train service after midnight; increase in wait times for trains by several minutes; elimination of bus routes 23, 182, 245, and 273; and changes in 41 other bus routes.
MARTA last raised its fare in 2001 from $1.25 to its current level of $1.75 and committed not to raise fares for five years. Officials tried to raise the fare again in 2005 but, as previously reported by Atlanta Progressive News, community opposition from groups like Atlanta Transit Riders' Union squashed the plan.
Jones said adjusted for inflation, current fare should be at $2.17, implying a fare increase is long overdue.
MARTA estimates the fare increase will generate an extra $4.8 million, and that the service cuts will generate an extra $8.4 million for 2010.
The agency is using other measures to plug the gap, including drawing $32 million out of operational reserves, $19.2 million in cost containment measures, and $6.4 million in safety enhancements.
MARTA workers are sacrificing as well: no annual merit increases, an increase in medical benefit contributions, and up to 10-day furloughs for all non-represented employees.
The Amalgamated Transit Union Local 732, which represents MARTA employees, has agreed to a 15-month deferral on collective bargaining on economic matters due to the current economic slump.
The Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC) threw MARTA a lifeline in May 2009 when it agreed to send the agency $25 million in American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) funds originally earmarked for long-term transit projects in Atlanta.
The lifeline is a one-time payment, which MARTA plans to use towards its operating costs. After the Georgia Regional Transportation Authority (GRTA) signed off on the lifeline last week, MARTA announced it will reallocate $25 million of its own capital money to fund transit-related infrastructure projects inside the MARTA service area.
Jones said MARTA can "put off a day of reckoning" with this proposed package but warned drastic options could be back on the table next year if the economic crisis does not abate and if more revenue streams do not become available.
"Relying on one-time grants and reserves is not a long-term solution," Jones said.
The Board is set to vote on the budget June 22. If approved, service changes will take effect August 15, 2009 and the fare increase on October 1.
Public hearings continued at 7 pm Wednesday at the South Fulton Service Center on Stonewall Tell Road in College Park and the Maloof Auditorium on Commerce Drive in Decatur.
For more about the FY 2010 budget and the proposed changes, visit www.atlantaprogressiveblog.com.
10/25:
Gambling, trains get bundled
by Mark Lane
News Journal
The Legislature finished its yearly session May 1 but left undone work behind. Since then, hardly a month goes by without the governor talking up or batting down the idea of a special session.
Last week the governor was in talking-up mode.
He was talking up a special session to get commuter rail built in Central Florida and fiscally on the tracks in South Florida. And this would be done to get the state's on-again, off-again high-speed rail plans on again.
Plus, he's suggesting, that since everyone would be hanging around town anyway, they also might want to approve the Seminole gaming compact. You know, the one that's been gathering dust since September.
So now Indian gaming is linked to high-speed rail, which, in turn, is linked to commuter rail.
How did that happen?
Well, the state would like to receive $2.5 billion in federal spending on high-speed rail. Florida historically has not done so well in getting federal transportation dollars. We tend to be a donor state, meaning Florida gets less in federal transportation spending than we put in. Our highway dollars help fund roads and bridges in Alaska, Montana and New York.
Some big transportation projects could address that imbalance. And in so doing, create thousands of jobs in a state with above-average unemployment and insane pockets of traffic congestion. And among the biggest projects going is high-speed rail.
Floridians love the idea of high-speed rail -- as long as somebody else pays for much of it.
You might recall that we passed the Bullet Train Amendment in 2000 and then passed the Bullet Train Repeal Amendment in 2004. ("A boondoggle of epic proportions," then-Gov. Jeb Bush argued before, during and after the 2000 vote.)
One problem, though. It has not escaped the U.S. Department of Transportation's notice that Florida is pretty terrible about committing to and funding mass transit aside from buses. If a state can't do commuter rail, how can you expect it to do high-speed rail?
Well, it's funny what a few frank words from a secretary of transportation can do. The governor and Senate President Jeff Atwater now are up for a third try at helping commuter rail. Both building the SunRail system, which would connect Volusia County with Orlando and the big world beyond, and finding a stable fund source for Tri-Rail in south Florida. A December special session could wrap it all up as a Christmas present.
And both high-speed rail and SunRail, say supporters, are shovel-ready.
"Shovel-ready" either means the groundwork is there for a fast startup or the Legislature is poised to bury these things.
One or the other.
And that will be up to House Speaker by Accident Larry Cretul. A special session can't happen without his signing on and he's characteristically slow to say either yes or no to the idea.
Philosophically, Cretul opposes federal stimulus spending. And he'd prefer a more limited, narrower Seminole gaming pact than anything the tribe is remotely interested in discussing. Still, he hasn't ruled these things out, either.
If I had any idea what he will do, that would make an excellent close to this column. Still, I'm guessing that legislators will need to take their Christmas sweaters out of storage because you would not believe how cold Tallahassee can get in winter
10/22:
How far will this latest run for trains take us?
Mike Thomas COMMENTARY
October 22, 2009
A whopping 64 percent of Florida voters rejected high-speed rail in 2004.
Twice in the past two years, the Legislature turned back a new commuter rail in Central Florida. It also rejected additional funding for existing commuter rail in South Florida.
There's nothing like stimulus dollars to stimulate choo-choo mania.
And so here we go again with three train proposals coming down the track.
Call it ObamaRail, the result of an $8 billion pot of money set up to fund high-speed train projects.
That has created an immediate scrum among the states anxious to get a piece of it.
Florida has put in for $2.5 billion to build a link between Tampa and Orlando.
Let's hope memories are short, because this is what former Florida Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher said when he led the high-speed-rail opposition in 2004: "It makes no sense to build something that people won't use."
To convince the feds that Tom was wrong, the state's political leaders are planning to convene a special session of the Legislature. Gov. Charlie Crist is on board, as is Senate President Jeff Atwater.
We just need future Speaker Dean Cannon to set aside his oil rigs and use his influence to make sure the House signs on, too.
And then, if all goes according to the script, they would approve building commuter rail here, and come up with some money for South Florida's commuter train.
Thus would we prove to the urban elitists in the White House that we are not just a bunch of commuting, suburban troglodytes.
"Shame on us if we don't take advantage of this historic opportunity," said temporary U.S. Sen. George LeMieux.
There is indeed a historic opportunity here.
Unfortunately, it doesn't entail going to a Tampa Bay Bucs game at 120 mph.
Gallagher was right. People won't use it.
U.S. Rep. John Mica understands this, which is why the Winter Park Republican hems and haws when asked about it. He was more upfront with the St. Petersburg Times when he called the Orlando-Tampa route a "dog."
Now he just says, "You can't take billions of dollars and throw it around carelessly." (What Washington does he live in?)
The Tampa-Orlando link contains none of the necessary ingredients for high-speed rail to work. The metropolitan areas are not big and dense enough. There is not enough commerce between the two of them. They are too close together. And neither has a local train system that could tie into the train stations.
Simply put, it would be a lot easier, cheaper and probably even faster to get into my Prius and drive to Tampa.
A planning group called America 2050 analyzed the best possible routes for high-speed rail, and Florida cities didn't crack the top 50 on the list. The best candidates were New York to Washington, Philadelphia to Washington, Boston to New York, Baltimore to New York and Los Angeles to San Francisco.
The only case to be made for an Orlando-to-Tampa route is that:
•We need the jobs.
•We could build it fast.
•It would be pretty cool.
Florida would get a hefty dose of temporary cash and temporary jobs. But when the train was finished, the feds would take their stimulus and go home. And Florida would be saddled with huge subsidies to keep an underused system operational.
Federal transportation planners understand this, which is why we won't get a dime for ObamaRail.
But that is fine. The real value of high-speed rail is the special session of the Legislature. We get the commuter projects, and by the time we don't get the high-speed-rail project, it will be too late for take-backs.
A route to Tampa may not make sense. But we do need routes from the airport to Walt Disney World, and the airport to the convention center.
And we need a mass-transit corridor through the center of the region that one day will serve as a spine for smaller transit systems cropping up between Volusia and Osceola.
These feeder systems have to be in place before high-speed rail enters the picture. That will be a good idea in the year 2025, by which time we may well be trying to stimulate ourselves out of the next recession.
And when that day comes, a Miami-Orlando line makes more sense than a Tampa-Orlando line.
Miami is the optimal distance, a place that is too close to fly to conveniently and too far to drive to conveniently.
Miami already has commuter rail in place and is gaining passengers. We can have one up and running fairly quickly.
If it takes the false promise of high-speed rail now to get us there 15 years from now, so be it.
10/20:
October 20, 2009
December special session considered for SunRail
TALLAHASSEE -- A controversial proposal to build a commuter-rail system in Central Florida could come back to state lawmakers this year.
Senate President Jeff Atwater, R-North Palm Beach, expressed support Monday for holding a special legislative session in December to consider approving the 61-mile SunRail project, which would connect Volusia and three other counties.
Gov. Charlie Crist also quickly offered his support for a special session, telling reporters, "I think that's a great idea."
Jaryn Emhof, a spokeswoman for the Senate president, said Atwater attended meetings Monday in Washington that dealt with Florida's efforts to win $2.6 billion in federal money to build a high-speed rail system that would initially link Tampa and Orlando and eventually could extend to Miami.
In evaluating the high-speed rail proposal, federal officials indicated they would look at Florida's commitment to rail transportation, including the SunRail project, Emhof said.
The senator would like to take up the SunRail issue before the end of the year, as the federal government is expected to make decisions about high-speed rail funding this winter. Florida's regular legislative session does not start until March.
SunRail needs legislative approval, but proposals have died the past two years in the Senate.
Opponents have questioned spending money on the project while the state faces severe budget problems. Also, they have criticized a proposal that would help shield rail company CSX Transportation from lawsuits if its freight trains are involved in accidents with commuter trains.
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By William E. Gibson and Josh Hafenbrack
WASHINGTON -- Gov. Charlie Crist and Senate President Jeff Atwater today called for a special legislative session this year to fund Tri-Rail and SunRail to clear a path for federal high-speed railroad dollars.
Atwater, a Republican from North Palm Beach, said Florida doesn’t have a chance of getting the $2.5 billion it needs for high-speed rail projects until it shows a commitment to fund two commuter railroads: Tri-Rail in South Florida and SunRail in Central Florida.
Speaking to reporters in Tallahassee, Crist endorsed the special session, likely slated for early December, making it a strong possibility. The governor also said he'd like to see his Seminole gambling pact added to the December agenda, although lawmakers might be reluctant to go along with that.
"I think that's a great idea," Crist said of a special session. "I would certainly encourage that, and I think it's the right thing for Florida. It can also help us with this bullet-train issue, too. We need transportation arteries for Florida. We are the fourth-largest state in the country, almost 20 million people. And it strikes me, you're on I-4 or I-75 or 95, the more transportation arteries we have for our fellow Floridians, the better it's going to be. Plus, it will provide additional jobs. We got the new numbers last week: almost 11 percent unemployment. We've got to do whatever we can to help those people."
Atwater and two fellow state senators said they are determined to fund the regional railroads after meeting in Washington with federal transportation and railroad officials and with Florida U.S. Senators Bill Nelson and George LeMieux.
The state seeks a piece of the $8 billion designated for high-speed rail projects around the country that were included in the economic-recovery bill passed by Congress this year.
“It’s a stimulus construction project that can put people to work,” Nelson said.
The first leg of an elevated high-speed train would connect Tampa and Orlando in the median of I-4. State officials hope to eventually connect Orlando with Miami with trains that move at 110 miles per hour.
Federal officials told the visitors that they could not compete for the high-speed dollars unless the Legislature fully committed to paying for the commuter projects now and in the future. The idea is to connect high-speed trains with commuter trains.
“It can’t be just throwing money at it,” Atwater said. “It has to be a commitment of dollars that they could see was on a going-forward basis.”
Tri-Rail has long sought a steady source of state funding to help lure federal dollars.
Atwater said the Legislature has shown renewed interest in a proposal to add a $2 surcharge on car rentals to pay for commuter rail. The proposal was complicated by attempts to allow SunRail to operate on CSX railroad tracks in the Orlando area. The state Senate balked at the risk of sparing the freight-carrier from legal liability, which would put state taxpayers on the hook for potential lawsuits.
Atwater said he is confident legislators can resolve these matters in a special session. He was joined by Senate Democratic Leader Al Lawson of Tallahassee and Senate budget chief J.D. Alexander, R-Winter Haven.
“Shame on us if we give up an opportunity to get $2.5 billion dollars and transform the way we get around Florida and the way we do business in Florida,” LeMieux said.
In Tallahassee, Crist said he'd like lawmakers to use the special session as a chance to vote on his Seminole gambling compact, which would give the tribe blackjack at its seven casinos in exchange for $150 million a year. Lawmakers, however, have criticized the governor's deal, which prohibits Florida pari-mutuel businesses from expanding into casino gambling games.
"I think having those additional monies for education for our children is awfully important, that's why I supported it," he said.
6/28:
OrlandoSentinel.comFriendly advice for SunRail's boosters: Get real
Scott Maxwell
I'm not sure whether to cheer or roll my eyes.
Inherently, I support transit options and rail. And I think it's shortsighted and simple-minded to blast this project because it costs a lot of money and wouldn't carry many people at first.
That's how the first leg of most any rail system would be.
I have to imagine there were skeptics back in 1869 when New York's first underground tunnel — a mere 312 feet in length beneath Broadway — was constructed. It certainly wasn't practical.
But the visionaries knew then that you must walk before you can run. And that first step is the most painful.
That said, I have never liked the way this town's "visionaries" have handled rail.
They can be heavy-handed, condescending and less than forthcoming with the facts.
They offer vague and misleading answers to legitimate questions and then seem puzzled by the fact that everyone doesn't jump on board.
They help create the very gadflies that drive them so batty.
There's also the fact that so many of them seem to have their hands in the cookie jar.
I remember last month when we got our hands on the documents that showed how much public money had been spent promoting this thing — well over $1 million on lobbying and public relations alone.
More than a quarter-million of that went to the regional civic group, Myregion.org. Taxpayers already support this well-intentioned but amorphous chamber-of-commerce outgrowth, which is bigger on feel-good talk than concrete results.
So the taxpayers help fund this group ... which then bills the taxpayers for more money ... so they can convince everyone to spend more taxpayer money on a massive project. Nice gig if you can get it.
(And by the way: Nearly $1 million for sell-jobs that failed? Maybe someone should throw a few expected-results clauses into the next contract.)
There are a lot of people who support this project. SunRail proponents should find more of them who are willing to give help — without also giving them a bill.
Even the so-called "deadline" that was miraculously extended last week was an artificial one.
It was simply a date CSX chose to try to force lawmakers to strike a deal as quickly as possible. There's a reason that CSX both set the deadline and now agreed to extend it — because the company is going to make out like a bandit.
That's something else proponents have trouble admitting. When pressed about whether CSX is getting too much from taxpayers, they resort to the well-that's-how-everyone-else-did-it response.
My mother didn't buy that excuse when I was back in grade school. Maybe I need to sic Mom on the SunRail strategists.
On the flip side, though, you have an extreme (and extremely loud) portion of the anti-rail crowd that complains about everything associated with the project.
Some have legitimate concerns about costs and getting more trains coming through their towns.
But some simply don't want to spend any money — on this or most anything else. They propose loopy, unresearched ideas like extending Disney's monorail to downtown. They assume everyone who likes rail is getting a payoff. And they accuse most any medium that won't parrot their conspiracy theories of getting paid for their silence.
I don't blame SunRail supporters for giving up on trying to placate that crowd. Some don't want to be placated. They are most happy when miserable ... and eager to make others feel the same way.
And then somewhere between the constant complainers and paternalistic pom-pom shakers are what I think is the majority of us — people who want more transit options but have some legitimate concerns and questions.
We are the people who understand that SunRail would simply be a first step, but a crucial one. People who understand that nothing this significant comes cheap.
But we are also people who expect those championing this project to act more like responsible stewards of the public's interest than starry-eyed cheerleaders. People who want public officials to drive a hard bargain on their behalf. And people who want civic leaders who will do that without looking to get paid for it.
The best thing proponents have going for them is the possibility of tapping even more stimulus money for the project.
They should tout that fact, answer all the hard questions and retool their sales pitch — perhaps with some new pitchmen.
6/17: OrlandoSentinel.com Contractors got $44 million in failed SunRail deal By Jason Garcia and Aaron Deslatte Sentinel Staff Writers June 11, 2009 Florida lawmakers this spring voted to kill Central Florida's planned commuter-rail system, but state contractors still made almost $44 million on the proposal.
That's how much the state Department of Transportation spent on nearly 60 contracts tied to SunRail, according to documents released Wednesday.
The total does not reflect all spending on the ill-fated $1.2 billion project. For example, it does not include money for right-of-way acquisition.
The largest payments went to EarthTech, according to DOT's documents. The department's prime consultant on SunRail was paid $10.1 million for services such as civil engineering and both preliminary and final designs.
Other expenses included $941,000 to five organizations for public relations, $91,000 for archaeological services and $30,000 for a Web site.
Myregion.org, paid $266,000, and Pecora & Pecora, which got $118,000, were among those that received public-relations contracts.
DOT paid CSX Transportation, whose tracks the state planned to buy, $462,000 for rail-safety inspections, flagging and signal maintenance.
Sen. Paula Dockery, the Lakeland Republican who led the charge to defeat the project, called it "an outrage" that the department spent "a quarter of a million taxpayer dollars to lead rallies and bus businesspeople up to Tallahassee to lobby this flawed CSX commuter-rail deal."
Boosters defended the costs, calling them a necessary part of planning for such a major transportation initiative. They also said it could prove to be money well spent if Central Florida leaders are able to revive SunRail, though the odds of doing so appear long.
"We don't see this as a waste of money," said Christine Kefauver, Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer's project leader on SunRail. "A lot of environmental work has been done that has a shelf life."
Kevin Thibault, DOT's assistant secretary for engineering and operations, said the money spent during the past five years on environmental studies, designing train stops and other planning aren't wasted dollars because the federal government has now given its tentative blessing to the project.
"When the community is ready to proceed with SunRail, they don't have to revisit this. It's already done," Thibault said.
But he conceded virtually all the expenses are tied to the specific SunRail project, meaning if it doesn't materialize, that spending will be money out the window.
Among the firms that drew taxpayer dollars is Dyer, Riddle, Mills & Precourt, an engineering firm where state Rep. Steve Precourt, R-Orlando, was a partner until early 2008, when he sold his stake to focus full time on the Legislature. The company was paid $1.5 million for survey work.
Precourt said he worked in a different division of the company than the surveying section, which was hired before he was elected in 2006 to locate underground utilities.
Other highly paid contractors include:
•$3.4 million to Lochrane Engineering for surveys, utility coordination, underground utility and design.
•$2.6 million to WRS Environmental Services for environmental-assessment services.
•$1.9 million to URS Corp. for grade separation, rail relocation and program management activities.
•$1.7 million to Shutts & Bowen for real-estate legal services.
Beyond those contracts, the state and local governments also have poured another $15 million to $20 million into buying land around potential train-station sites.
"I still hold out hope, no matter how slim it is, that we'll be able to reconstruct this project, because I still feel it is so important for Central Florida," said Lee Constantine, R- Altamonte Springs. "Anything we can do to prepare us for this is still a positive thing."
Jason Garcia 5/15: Railcar Deal Missing Key Component: The Tracks By LINDSAY PETERSON July 20, 2008 The Tampa Tribune Florida plans to spend $45 million to buy commuter railcars from a company whose investors ousted its president recently amid production problems at its manufacturing plant.
The company, Colorado Railcar Manufacturing of Fort Lupton, Colo., is a year late completing an order for South Florida's Tri-Rail commuter system. Nevertheless, Florida officials say they plan to order 10 more vehicles to start up the state's commuter rail project in the Orlando area - with an option to get 14 more later.
The Orlando commuter system doesn't exist yet. The project stumbled this spring when state lawmakers rejected a key component of the state's agreement to buy railroad tracks from CSX Transportation. But state Department of Transportation officials said they are working on getting the deal through next year and plan to go ahead with the railcar purchase.
Colorado Railcar was the only bidder for the contract advertised in February. That's because the state wrote the solicitation narrowly, and no other company qualified.
One of Colorado Railcar's most ardent supporters is U.S. Rep. John Mica, R-Winter Park. Mica is also a major proponent of the Orlando area commuter system.
DOT officials said they plan to award the $45 million contract to Colorado Railcar in October, though they will evaluate the company's financial standing and production capacity first.
The railcar bid request was not written for the purpose of giving the contract to Colorado Railcar, said DOT spokesman Dick Kane. The company happens to produce the kind of trains the Orlando system is being designed to use - trains that can use short platforms but carry thousands of passengers a day on tracks shared by freight trains.
With a conventional commuter train, a locomotive pulls the passenger cars. They are popular because they meet federal requirements for passenger trains on active freight lines. They must be able to withstand a collision with a freight train.
Colorado Railcar builds what is known as a diesel multiple unit, or DMU. It combines a diesel engine and passenger seating in one car, so its trains are shorter and get better mileage. But unlike other DMUs, the Colorado Railcars are sturdy enough to meet federal crash requirements.
The way the state is planning the Orlando system, its trains will share tracks with CSX freight trains for several hours a day.
Mica began promoting Colorado Railcar six years ago. It had just announced production of its new, crash-resistant DMU but hadn't sold one. A longtime member of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, Mica took credit for getting a $4 million congressional earmark in 2003 that helped the company sell that first vehicle - to South Florida's Tri-Rail.
An earmark is a provision in a bill that directs money to be spent on a specific project. The 2003 bill with the railcar earmark didn't name Colorado Railcar, but it required that the money be used for DMUs that were manufactured in the United States and could run on tracks with freight trains. At the time, only Colorado Railcar met the criteria.
Congress approved a second earmark in 2004 for $5 million, after Colorado Railcar hired the lobbying and law firm Greenberg, Traurig. The Florida Department of Transportation pitched in $11 million in state tax money so it could buy six cars.
Now, the state plans to pay Colorado Railcar $4.5 million apiece for the 10 vehicles.
Mica said that although he supported Colorado Railcar, he did not talk to DOT officials about giving the company the state contract.
'Efficiency Difficulties'
Tom Rader founded Colorado Railcar and was removed as its president this year. Since 2003, Rader and his company have reported spending nearly $300,000 on lobbyists and federal campaign contributions. Rader gave Mica's political campaigns a total of $3,000 for 2004 and 2005.
Mica angrily denied that lobbying or campaign contributions had anything to do with his position. "My relationship with the company has been nothing but above the board," he said. The company spent its own money developing a new kind of fuel-efficient railcar and deserves government help, Mica said.
The new Colorado Railcar president, Larry Salci, took over for Rader in April. Colorado Railcar's primary lenders had retained him a month earlier to analyze the company's finances and operations.
"They said they had a company with efficiency difficulties," Salci said.
He said he is focused on producing railcars and knows nothing about the company's political activities under Rader.
Salci has 30 years' experience with railcar manufacturing and is "very bullish" on Colorado Railcar's vehicles, he said.
But production has been a challenge for the company. In addition to Florida's TriRail, an Oregon transit agency, TriMet, has had problems with Colorado Railcar's delivery schedules.
TriMet learned last year that the company would be late delivering the first of four cars TriMet had ordered. The first car arrived in mid-June, about six months late, but not until the agency sent someone to the Fort Lupton plant to monitor the production process full time. The other cars are due later this summer.
The company was trying to recapitalize and having trouble with supplies, said Thomas Helig, TriMet manager.
Rader had problems in Florida 10 years ago while involved with a venture called the Florida Fun Train. It carried tourists and local partiers between South Florida and Orlando in railcars that had been turned into lounges, a video arcade, even a tiki bar with a disco.
The trains were beautiful, said one of the enterprise's presidents, Ray Monteleone. But production problems at the company, then called Rader Railcar II, led to the Fun Train's failure two years after it began, Monteleone said.
Rader's "imagination and vision was right on," he said. "But he had a hard time with delivery."
Salci's role at Colorado Railcar is to recapitalize the company and bring "discipline" to the manufacturing process, he said. He wouldn't go into detail about the company's problems, nor would he name the investors who hired him.
"This is a privately held company. I'm not at liberty to say that," he said.
Rader is now focused on running one of his other companies, called Grandluxe Rail Journeys, which operates luxury rail tours. He did not return phone calls.
Since Colorado Railcar announced production of its new vehicle in 2002, only three transit agencies - in Florida, Oregon and Alaska - have purchased any.
They're expensive, said Paul Dyson, president of the Passenger Rail Association of California and Nevada. They cost about twice as much as the locomotive-passenger car combination.
And although they use less fuel than the locomotive train, they use more fuel than other DMUs. That's because Colorado Railcar had to beef up its vehicles to meet the federal crash standards.
"If I were a Florida taxpayer, I'd be asking the state if they've looked at every alternative," Dyson said.
DOT's Kane said the state decided early on that it wanted to use DMUs, finding them to be superior to locomotive-hauled passenger trains. And the state had to use a heavier, crash-resistant DMU because of the deal with CSX. It doesn't give the state the option of scheduling passenger and freight trains at different times, as some commuter systems have done so they can use lightweight DMUs.
Economy and safety concerns dictated the state's choice, Kane said. But the bid request it issued this year contained the same requirements of the congressional earmark that Mica helped obtain for the company in 2003.
Choosing Colorado Railcar
Mica began promoting a passenger rail system in Orlando in the late 1990s and set up a demonstration of a lightweight DMU made by Siemens Transportation Systems. At the time, Orlando area transit officials were planning to build a light-rail system, but the plan failed.
By 2002, Mica was pushing a new plan to use existing CSX freight tracks - and Colorado Railcar vehicles.
The railcars weren't in service, but Mica had met Rader and was intrigued by his efforts to build a new kind of railcar. He can't recall where he met Rader.
A September 2002 news release on Mica's Web site announced that he "had secured $8 million for ... a national demonstration of a new commuter rail technology." It said he planned to show off an example of that technology, a Colorado Railcar DMU, in Orlando the next month.
The amount was down to $4 million by the time the transportation bill with the earmark passed in early 2003.
In August 2003, after Congress approved the railcar earmark, the law firm Greenberg, Traurig registered to lobby for Colorado Railcar.
One of the Colorado Railcar lobbyists was Duane Gibson, former chief aid to U.S. Rep. Don Young, R-Alaska, who was chairman of the House Transportation Committee from 2001 to 2007. Gibson continued to represent the company after he left the law firm.
Mica said he was never approached by any lobbyist about the company. If anything, Mica said, he approached Gibson after Gibson left the transportation committee.
"I spoke to Duane about Colorado Railcar," Mica said. "I can't remember if they were looking for someone to represent them or what." He also can't remember precisely when it was, but he said he is sure Gibson was not at Greenberg, Traurig at the time.
In late 2003, the federal government picked the South Florida Regional Transportation Authority to carry out the demonstration project described in the congressional earmark. The authority then picked Colorado Railcar to provide the vehicles.
Despite being credited for setting up the Colorado Railcar project in South Florida, Mica now says his role was only to encourage the House Appropriations Committee to pursue the DMU technology. He said he did not ask for money for any individual company. Nevertheless, he was happy that Colorado Railcar was eventually selected, he said.
"I was encouraging that Colorado Railcar be demonstrated anywhere in the United States," Mica said.
In 2006, when Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, CSX officials and Mica announced the plans to buy 61 miles of CSX tracks for the Orlando area commuter system, the group rode a Colorado Railcar DMU into Orlando.
DOT officials say several companies were interested in the $45 million state contract advertised in February, though in the end only Colorado Railcar submitted a bid.
One of the potential bidders was a Korean company, Rotem, that designs crash-worthy DMUs and has a U.S. plant. It was planning to build cars for the Raleigh, N.C., commuter system until federal funding for that project fell through. Its cars, however, have only one level, and Florida officials said they need bilevel cars for the Orlando system.
Another company, Siemens, was also interested and proposed scheduling freight and commuter trains at different times so the state could use the company's lighter DMU. But the state said no, said Siemens' Frank Guzzo.
"There could have been other ways to approach the project. We had offered an alternative," Guzzo said. But the state "was fixated on this one approach." 5/4: "History is a nightmare from which I am trying to awake" - James Joyce. 45 million lost in 2000 and over 100 million since then. Will others keep trying to bring their vision to fruition with other people's money? Is that 100 million since 2000 or just the last year or two? Where are the locomotives that were purchased from the company that went off the rails? I know...I'm evil... From John Mica's website: 2000 Central Florida Commuter Rail Demonstration With the Orange County Commission's 1999 decision to abandon 5 years of planning, $45 million invested in studies and the preliminary design of the proposed Orlando/I-Drive light rail project, as well as over $300 million in promised federal funding, prospects for securing a cost-effective fixed transit alternative in Central Florida have suffered a significant setback. In January, 2000, Rep. Mica began working with State and local officials to salvage funds to review and plan a regional commuter rail project to serve as a cost-effective mass transit alternative to traffic congestion on I-4. Originally envisioned in a 1993 proposal as part of a regional rail network, commuter rail was intended to serve as a feeder into the light rail system, and would provide service from Volusia County to the Orlando metropolitan area. Both commuter rail and the Orlando/I-Drive light rail were included in the 1995 I-4 Multi-Modal Master Plan, and in 1998 were given federal authorization under TEA-21 as part of the proposed Central Florida Light Rail System. Because of this federal backing, Rep. Mica was able to save $3 million in residual funds from the failed light rail project to be used for commuter rail service, now called the Central Florida Commuter Rail Project. The Central Florida Commuter Rail Project would extend for 55 miles on CSX tracks from DeLand through Orlando and to Kissimmee. For further information and a current status of this effort, visit Rep. Mica's Commuter Rail webpage. From the Orlando Sentinel 5/2/09 U.S. Rep. John Mica, R- Winter Park, called the vote a "disappointment" and said $100 million in state and federal funds had already been spent on the project. "If the project does not go forward nearly $100 million expended to date, along with eight years of work, hearings and effort, will all be lost. 5/3: From the Tampa Tribune:
Senate hammers spike through SunRail's heart
By WILLIAM MARCH
wmarch@tampatrib.com
The Florida Senate voted Friday for the second time against the SunRail project, a 23-16 vote that appears to spell its demise.
The vote killed an amendment by SunRail advocates led by Sen. Lee Constantine, R-Altamonte Springs, that would have allowed the state to purchase rail lines from CSX for the Central Florida commuter rail project despite what some see as its controversial ramifications.
Friday was designated the last day of the legislative session on which non-budget issues would be heard, so SunRail appears unlikely to come back up. Proponents say the agreements with CSX expire in June, which means the contracts would have to be renegotiated if advocates seek to pursue it further.
Constantine said renegotiation is highly unlikely and he sees no future for the project. Asked about possible alternatives for a Central Florida light rail system, he said he doesn't see any.
He said the decision will cost the state federal money for mass transit.
The outcome is a defeat for Republican legislative leaders and Gov. Charlie Crist, who all favored the proposal. Then-Gov. Jeb Bush's administration negotiated the deal before he left office.
There were proponents and opponents on both sides of the aisle. In the final vote, 13 Republican joined 10 Democrats voting no, and three South Florida Democrats voted yes.
The SunRail amendment included authorization for a rental car surcharge in South Florida to provide a funding source for South Florida's TriRail, a measure intended to persuade reluctant South Florida legislators to support it.
As in Thursday's vote, Mike Fasano, R-New Port Richey, was the only yes vote from the Tampa Bay area; Arthenia Joyner, D-Tampa, Charlie Justice, D-St. Petersburg and Ronda Storms, R-Valrico, all voted no.
Opponents said the state would have paid too much to buy the rail lines under the proposal, and that arrangements for legal liability were too unfavorable to the state and the taxpayers.
5/2: Do the people have any say? OUR Representatives VOTED it down TWICE in TWO days. It was voted down last year as well. But an oligarchy wants to keep it alive. If something really makes sense, is fair and shows the potential for success, then why HAS it taken 8 years and over 100 million dollars to no avail? Does this mean we won't use the money to invest in the bus system? Buses can go anywhere at anytime. Yes, the bus system does not allow for as much pork as commuter rail does, but it helps the people...oh...I'm sorry to inject a solution that has worked elsewhere into the problem. That doesn't have anything to do with politics. Politics has to do with making the possible, impossible. There I go being "evil" again...sorry, Mayor Dyer. Norm Erickson From the Orlando Sentinel: U.S. Rep. John Mica, R- Winter Park, called the vote a "disappointment" and said $100 million in state and federal funds had already been spent on the project. "If the project does not go forward nearly $100 million expended to date, along with eight years of work, hearings and effort, will all be lost. Florida is facing 10 percent unemployment. The loss of this project will kill nearly 13,000 jobs and will send more than one-third of a billion dollars in transportation funding to other states. I am going to continue to do everything possible to see that that does not happen. "In conferring with Congresswoman Corrine Brown, Chairwoman of the House Railroad Subcommittee, she further stated, 'I am committed to work to find ways to make SunRail a reality for the State of Florida.'" 4/30: IN THE TRADITION OF HOWARD COSELL, "DOWN GOES SUNRAIL, DOWN GOES SUNRAIL, DOWN GOES SUNRAIL!!" THE ORLANDO SENTINEL SAID "IT'S NOW OR NEVER. IT DOESN'T GO THROUGH NOW IT IS DEAD, AMORTE, ASHES, GONE, FINISHED, FERTIG, EMBALMED, ENTOMBED, THE ETERNAL DIRT NAP FOREVER...OR AT THE LEAST UNTIL THE NEXT LEGISLATIVE SESSION. MAYBE, INSTEAD OF "SUNRAIL" WE SHOULD CALL IT "THE PHOENIX" IT DOESN'T DIE...IT RISES FROM THE ASHES... SunRail bill is withdrawn -- and probably dead
Sponsors of Central Florida's SunRail commuter-rail bill all but admitted defeat Thursday night, shutting down debate on the bill after losing a key procedural vote.
"We in Central Florida wanted to have a hearing. I believe we're seeing we're not going to get to a vote," said sponsor Sen. Lee Constantine, R- Altamonte Springs, as he withdrew the SunRail amendment.
That means that to bring it back up tomorrow, the session's last day, he'd need a two-thirds vote, which he clearly doesn't have.
Earlier, Constantine had attempted to bring up an amendment considered key to get the support of South Florida Democrats. It would have allowed a $2-a-day surcharge on rental cars if approved by a super-majority vote of a county commission. The tax would be able to continue until the public voted in a referendum in 2014.
South Florida lawmakers had sought the tax to provide money for Tri-Rail, the commuter line in Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties. But under Senate rules, bringing the amendment up required a two-thirds vote, or 27 members.
Constantine's motion died on a 23-17 vote, four votes short.
"The forces of evil have won," said Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer.
But others said there was a slim chance the $1.2 billion project could be resurrected on the floor tomorrow.
Copyright © 2009, Orlando Sentinel 3/22: Four articles that discuss SunRail around the state. Miami, Lakeland, Ocala, and Tampa all here at DeBaryPOP: Miami Herald: SunRail Has "Too Much Baggage"
Submitted by ProCitizen Media on Thu, 03/19/2009 - 10:37
The Miami Herald joins the chorus of Florida newspapers calling for the CSX deal to be renegotiated.
"Florida needs a commuter-rail system, and the SunRail project would be a good place to show it can be done. However, the extraordinary costs and liability exposure in this measure are too great. The deal should be amended or scrapped altogether." -- The Herald.
Florida newspapers all agree that rail transit is a good goal, but the terrible terms of the CSX deal are impossible to swallow and should be renegotiated.
Read the Herald's editorial here: http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/editorials/story/957198.html
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Majority of Florida Voters Oppose Rail Plan
Submitted by ProCitizen Media on Wed, 03/18/2009 - 10:11
By Bill Thompson
Ocala Star-Banner
OCALA — More than three of every five Florida voters oppose state funding for a billion-dollar deal with railroad giant CSX Transportation to provide the Orlando area with commuter rail service, while almost that many say lawmakers should reject the proposal outright, instead of going through with it or finding an alternative way to make it work, according to a newly released public opinion poll.
The poll also found that statewide opposition to the $1.2-billion proposal grows even stronger, to more than four of every five voters, when the respondents were asked if the state should be held liable for any accidents, including those caused by CSX employees, that might occur as a result of the transaction.
Read more: http://www.ocala.com/article/20090205/ARTICLES/902040262?Title=Majority_...
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The CSX Deal: A Train Wreck of a Proposal
Submitted by ProCitizen Media on Mon, 03/16/2009 - 10:38
This thoughtful post from The Tampa Tribune's blog, Thinking Out Loud, shows what ordinary citizens think about the CSX deal:
Once you start reading the fine print, it’s easy to see why CSX is so eager to sell us these tracks. First of all, it would be immensely profitable for them. Not only will they get a minimum $650 million in cash, the highest price ever paid for railroad tracks, they eliminate the huge expense of liability insurance and accident claims along the route, and they still get to use the tracks exclusively for five hours each night and share them with commuter trains for seven hours each day. In other words, they get free use of tracks we pay to maintain and if there’s an accident, it’s our our insurance that takes the hit.
Read the complete piece: http://www.tboblogs.com/index.php/thinkoutloud/categories/C930/
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Sink Says Revised CSX Rail Deal Still Flawed
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3/15: How will SunRail work better? How will SunRail not fall prey to the problems documented in the articles below? How will this website's webmaster avoid being audited in the extremely near future? I would type more, but someone is knocking at my door at this late hour......Norm Erickson Click on the links below to read the articles: Holy Rail: Mass transit boondoggles 2004 Massively Misguided Transit 2003 Politicians Love Transit, Just Not For Themselves 2007 The Quest for the Holy Rail 1998 Railroading the Poor Transit for the rich 2005 How Traffic Jams Are Made In City Hall The bad logic and failed policies of transportation planners 2007 Extra at no charge: Randall O'Toole on Video talking about Charlotte Light Rail. Lasts 1 minute 19 seconds: Randal O'Toole on Light Rail in Charlotte 3/4: The Truth about Central Florida Commuter Rail The general public has received details about the proposed commuter rail project primarily from two sources; government and media. Both groups are firmly supportive of commuter rail and present what can be considered the “best argument” for commuter rail. As part of my study on greater government efficiency (www.TaxpayerBudgetReviewBoard .org), we are looking at transportation. This article comes out in advance of our study because there are developments pending this month that will affect the future of commuter rail. Please know I am not against mass transit, I simply want to ensure the public is getting a wide array of facts and the taxpayer money is well spent. Commuter rail is a 99 year commitment with billions of local taxes at stake. I have made available on our web site, under “Commuter Rail,” the studies I reference in this article. The most important report is the November 2007 report by the Federal Transportation Agency, who must approve the funding for commuter rail. Under “Making the Case”, the government agency in charge of rating our project give our case a “LOW” rating, because “the project shows no justification why a significant investment in rail is necessary in a corridor when existing bus service is “limited.” (FTA Nov. 2007 report) What the federal government is telling us is that ridership will be low otherwise bus service would already be at capacity. They are telling us the $1.25 billion we are considering spending on commuter rail is not a good investment. A similar rating for the Dulles Corridor Metrorail Project “rendered it ineligible,” according to a January 24, 2008 letter from the US Department of Transportation. The cost of the commuter rail project is changing daily and the true cost cannot be determined because the cost of the debt to finance the project is unknown. When the project was initially proposed debt was 5% and plentiful. Now debt is scarce and the State of Florida is looking at a downgrade in its credit rating. It may not be able to raise the funds for the project, and if it can, it will cost much more than originally planned. Here is our current projection of costs; Capital Costs: $605,000,000 Station Construction and other
Compensation to CSX*: $150,000,000 Purchase 61 miles of track
$ 23,000,000 Relocate Taft Rail Yard to W. Haven
$198,000,000 Construction of CSX S-line projects
$ 52,000,000 A-line Rand Yard Construction
projects $214,000,000 Construct 5 grade crossing
$ 9,000,000 Toward infrastructure for CSX’s ILC TOTAL: $1.25 Billion Dollars
Breakdown
Local
Government |
Capital Costs
(Station Construction and non-Station Items as of January 2007) |
Debt Service on FDOT’s 30-year bond to purchase tracks and relocate CSX rail yard to Winter Haven*** |
Volusia |
$ 94,700,000 |
$54,717,000 |
Seminole |
$183,300,000 |
$70,610,000 |
Orange |
$160,400,000 |
$70,104,000
(Winter Park pays $11,300,000 and Maitland pays $11,300.000) |
Osceola |
$107,000,000 |
$41,446,000 |
Orlando |
$ 54,300,000 |
$23,713,000 |
TOTAL |
$605,000,000** |
$260,590,000 |
The agreement proposes the local governments to pay 25%, or $151,250,000, the State of Florida pays 25% for $151,250,000, and the Federal grant application is for 50%, or $302,500,000. There is no guarantee of federal funds, or any limitations on cost. It is routine for rail projects to be 25%, 50%, and even 100% over budget. And small local governments have a virtually unlimited exposure to the cost overruns. Local funding partners (Counties and Orlando) will have to pay 50% of “what FTA does not pay.” That means another $150 million if FTA disapproves a federal grant, plus any cost increases.
The number one reason people support commuter rail is they believe it will reduce traffic congestion. But not even the proponents of commuter rail will suggest congestion on I-4 will be reduced. And the traffic in small cities along the route will be forever snarled because of train crossing and stops. In busy Winter Park a train will stop traffic every 15 minutes in rush hour. In Minneapolis rail was added parallel to Hiawatha Avenue and rail supporters said it would “reduce traffic a significant degree.” Yet when the line opened in 2004 drivers noticed a huge increase in traffic congestion. Traffic flows were interrupted and all attempts to mitigate congestion failed. Officials admitted traffic in Hiawatha will forever be impaired. Even worse, documents uncovered after completion revealed the State officials had been aware of the future congestion problem but ignored them because they “wanted to give an advantage to transit.” (Reason.org 2004 Rail Disasters). It is likely that vehicle traffic in every town along the rail route will increase and congestion will get worse. This will certainly be the case when a rail train hits an automobile. In Houston, where they built a mere 7.5 mile rail section between downtown and the sports stadium, there were 67 rail/auto accidents in the first year, more than one a week. Further, the media reports we receive do not clearly outline the ridership. I have friends that support commuter rail, but no one I know plans to use it. My informal survey reached 5000 people and had 32 responses. Only 3 people that said they will use light rail on a regular basis. Metro Plan did a study last year that said only 9% of central Floridians support commuter rail. “Community leaders” imagine they are adding a travel option; for the most part, though, they are cannibalizing existing bus services. A significant proportion of the "new" rail transit riders turn out to be former bus riders. In Los Angeles, it is estimated only 10 to 15 percent of the riders on the newly constructed rail lines are attracted from automobiles. The remaining 85 percent to 90 percent were former bus riders. This phenomenon is not unique to Los Angeles . It is common wherever new rail lines are implemented. Even worse, the high cost of rail construction may lead to cutbacks in bus service. In Los Angeles, total transit ridership is now about 30 percent lower than it was before the rail lines were opened ( Reason Public Policy Study #243) . There are alternatives to expensive fixed rail mass transit. Among them is an “express bus system.” It is one-fifth the cost of light rail, and actually can take you from where you are to where you want to go (versus taking you from where you don’t live to where you don’t work). The express bus system can help solve the school transportation debacle. It has worked marvels in places like Brazil, where they do not have the resources for rail but have demands for mass transit. It is clear to me after conducting my own research that commuter rail is not a good use of taxpayer funds. It does not reduce traffic, pollution (the trains are 1970s diesel technology), or help the average citizen. Writing in Transport Reviews, April, 2008, Jonathan Richmondof Harvard University has opined, “ In no case has new rail service been shown to have a noticeable impact upon highway congestion or air quality.” And government projects do not create long term jobs, they create long term liabilities. Five years ago commuter rail was a bad idea. Today, with service cuts and teacher layoffs commuter rail is a really bad idea. The State of Florida is proposing to increase FDOT funding by $300 million while decreasing school funding. We have the best road network in the country already, and our schools are among the nation’s worst. The City of Winter Park (and potentially other communities) has until the 27 th of January to terminate its agreements to fund commuter rail. We encourage you to email your elected officials in every community to say “NO MORE COMMUTER RAIL”. Our economic future is uncertain and our local governments must focus on essential services more than ever. The financial burden of commuter rail will only cause more businesses to fail, increase traffic, and cut the flow of revenue to important government functions like education. Please act, email your local elected official today. Orange County
2010 Orange County Mayor |
Richard Crotty |
mayor@ocfl.net |
District 1 |
Scott Boyd |
district1@ocfl.net |
District 2 |
Fred Brummer |
district2@ocfl.net |
District 3 |
Mildred Fernadez |
district3@ocfl.net |
District 4 |
Linda Stewart |
district4@ocfl.net |
District 5 |
Bill Segal |
district5@ocfl.net |
District 6 |
Tiffany Moore |
district6@ocfl.net |
City of Orlando Winter Park Maitland Ocoee 2/9/09: I'll tell ya, $1.2 billion just doesn't get you what it used to. Regardless, in the next three days we can expect an editorial from the Orlando Sentinel saying, "No price is too much and full steam ahead!" The DBNJ has been silent on this issue. Hmmm..... Cost of planned $1.2 billion Central Florida commuter rail could go up
Dan Tracy | Sentinel Staff Writer
- 11:42 AM EST, February 9, 2009
DELAND - The cost of the planned $1.2 billion Central Florida commuter rail could go up, or project planners will have to settle for less for the money.
That was the bottom line Monday for the state Department of Transportation, which sought but received no bids for work estimated at more than $158 million. Three companies had sought to bid on the contract, but backed off a little more than a week ago, saying FDOT's maximum price was too low.
The contract is for work that must be done to prepare the proposed 61.5 rail line to begin operations early next decade. The work includes designing and building sections of double tracking along the rail corridor as well as building, a signalization system, concrete station platforms and a control center in Sanford. Several existing road crossings would also be upgraded.
A panel of FDOT managers decided Monday to drop four items from the overall project, {what four items were dropped? Will we know? Norm} in hopes of bringing the price down to the amount budgeted for the contract.
"We do need to get numbers to try and get this going," said FDOT District 5 secretary Noranne Downs. The new bid specifications will be sent out Tuesday, with responses expected within two weeks, Downs said. Dropped from the new list will be two sections of rail switches that would allow freight trains and commuter trains to go from one set of tracks to another; improvements to two road crossings; the removal of contaminated dirt, possibly including arsenic, at a yard in Sanford where the control station is to be built; and hiring workers to flag traffic around some work sites.
FDOT officials would not release any prices estimates on the vetoed work, saying it would give bidders an unfair advantage in compiling their bids. District construction engineer Frank O'Dea said the deletions would not affect the safety or performance of the train known as SunRail. The dropped work, he said, can be done years later or handled by state workers.
From the Lakeland Ledger:
...the majority of voters surveyed in Central Florida and statewide are opposed to agreements for Orlando commuter rail.
2/9: Anecdotally, there is a pattern seen around the country when it comes to commuter and light rail:
It is forced on citizens regardless of how it will cause tax hikes and not solve any transportations issues. There are websites by the government (paid for by taxpayers) and then websites by citizens. Ultimately, it is forced on the many by the oligarchy running this scheme. Bus fares go up, bus routes are reduced. Someone is making money from this at the taxpayers' expense and it is never really discussed. Taxes are attached to such things as rental cars to pay for the rail system. Yet it continues because those in the position to say no, say yes; it's the only thing necessary for bad policies to exist. We will be getting this in DeBary. In seven years when the "partners" pull out, we will have to pay for it. We should institute a "Commuter Rail Tax" so everyone will know exactly what this will cost us.
Norm Erickson
2/9: Poll: Most in Fla. Oppose Transit Plan Wednesday, February 4, 2009
LAKELAND | A public opinion poll reporting that the majority of voters surveyed in Central Florida and statewide are opposed to agreements for Orlando commuter rail began appearing on Florida legislators' desks Wednesday, the same day Gov. Charlie Crist endorsed the project.
The poll, paid for by a mystery benefactor, was conducted by Ayres, McHenry and Associates of Alexandria, Va. The firm asked 641 registered voters in the state about the Florida Department of Transportation's agreement to purchase railroad tracks from CSX for a commuter rail system.
Among the survey's findings were that voters oppose funding the agreement with CSX by a 61 percent-to-25 percent margin statewide, with no answer from the others polled.
In Central Florida, where a good portion of the 61-mile track runs, 60 percent oppose the state's purchase agreement, which requires state payment not only for the track, but for improvements on CSX lines elsewhere and for construction of overpasses.
Eighty-two percent statewide oppose transferring liability for tracks in the commuter rail corridor from CSX to the state, which is in the agreement worked out between the Florida DOT and CSX. Nine percent support the liability transfer.
In Central Florida, where 186 voters were surveyed, 80 percent oppose indemnifying CSX against liability for accidents on the commuter line while 11 percent support it.
CSX and DOT officials say the agreement simply means that with any accident, CSX will pay its expenses and the state will pay its expenses. But opponents of the agreement say that means if CSX is at fault for an accident on the commuter line, it only has to pay for its equipment and personnel, while the state would have to pay for all other damage, including injuries to passengers on the line.
John McHenry, one of the principals of the research firm, said the poll was conducted Jan. 27-29. While the randomly selected voters were not asked whether they had prior knowledge of the commuter rail system, they were given the facts relating to the project before being asked questions about it, he said.
The results from the 641 statewide respondents have a margin of sampling error of 3.8 percentage points. When 186 voters in Central Florida are considered, the margin of sampling error is 7 percentage points.
McHenry said the poll was paid for by a client who only wanted to be known as "a concerned Florida taxpayer."
It appears as though that same taxpayer created a Web site, www.sunrailcommuter.com, which includes the poll results about the 61-mile Orlando commuter rail, which has been named the SunRail.
When asked by The Ledger through e-mail about his or her identity, the Web site operator, who used the nom de plume of "Sunny," answered, "Who am I? A concerned Florida taxpayer."
The full poll results can be viewed at http://www.ayresmchenry.com/
1/31: Click below for the link to the editorial: MTA HAS WAYS OF GETTING CASH 1/20: UPDATE: Click on the links below to read about Commuter Rail in a way that won't be discussed in the newspapers or "discussion" forums:
COMMUTER RAIL IS NOT THE ANSWER
SOURCE: BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS AND TRAINMEN A DIVISION OF THE RAIL CONFERENCE OF THE INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS
SMART GROWTH AND MASS TRANSIT
THE ARTICLES BELOW COME FROM HONOLULU AND THEIR JOURNEY TOWARD MASS TRANSIT. WHAT WE'RE GOING THROUGH NOW THEY WENT THROUGH IN 2006. IF YOU GO TO THE MAIN LINK AND LOOK ON THE LEFT HAND SIDE UNDER "TRAFFIC AND TRANSPORTATION" YOU CAN READ THE HISTORY OF HOW THE RAIL WAS PUSHED THROUGH. THE COMPARISONS ARE INCREDIBLE.
THE MAIN LINK IS HERE AND LOOK ON THE LEFT SIDE UNDER "TRAFFICE AND TRANSPORATION:
CLIFF SLATER'S COLUMN
VARIOUS ARTICLE BY CLIFF SLATER ABOUT THE RAIL SYSTEM IN HONOLULU:
SCOPING OUT THE CITY'S MASS TRANSIT SCAM
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Worse in Oregon: They invested in the same Colorado Rail Company that we did.
Is company's demise a setback for SunRail? Backers say no
From Norm: What would have to happen for backers to say no? Just a question.
Dan Tracy
Sentinel Staff Writer
January 14, 2009
The commuter train that is supposed to run 61 miles through Central Florida may not be as sleek, eco-friendly and futuristic as promised.
The commuter train that is supposed to run 61 miles through Central Florida may not be as sleek, eco-friendly and futuristic as promised.
The Colorado builder of the state-of-the art commuter-rail cars that were to be the centerpiece of the $1.2 billion venture linking DeLand with Poinciana has gone out of business. The company was the only U.S. manufacturer of the self-propelled cars.
That means the proposed system -- recently dubbed SunRail -- will rely largely on components basic to railroads since their inception: a locomotive pulling or pushing a string of cars.
SunRail officials downplayed the loss of the self-propelled cars, known as diesel multiple units, or DMUs.
They say the project remains on schedule for a 2011 startup, and the traditional locomotives and cars eventually purchased will run as efficiently as the DMUs.
"Does it set us back? No," said Tawny Olore, SunRail project manager for the state Department of Transportation.
Critics are not so sure.
Retired electrical engineer George McClure, who follows the project closely, contends SunRail is engaged in a bit of "bait and switch" because the system will not rely solely on DMUs, as has been advertised.
He also speculated that SunRail may have to purchase refurbished locomotives to stay on schedule because ordering new, more-efficient engines might take too long. In that case, "you're going back to 1970s technology," said McClure, a member of the now-disbanded Winter Park rail task force that studied the commuter-rail plan.
Rebuilt locomotives, he said, burn at least twice as much fuel as the DMUs, making them more expensive to operate and more polluting.
Olore said SunRail intends to buy new locomotives that will be as efficient as the DMUs. If rebuilt engines are purchased, she said, they will meet the same environmental standards as new ones.
SunRail's Web site prominently features a DMU rendering, and the system's circular logo plays off its slick, rounded look. Two years ago, U.S. Rep. John Mica, R-Winter Park, brought two DMU cars to town as he and other officials were drumming up support for the project.
As it now stands, SunRail will have two, or possibly three, DMU two-car sets, all now on loan to South Florida's commuter-rail system. But the majority of SunRail's rolling stock would be more traditional: five locomotives and 10 coach and cab cars, which are not motorized but house the engine's controls.
SunRail is seeking train providers now and expects to review proposals in February. The anticipated cost of the equipment is $52 million.
Mica, a leading proponent of the proposed train, was a big backer of the DMUs and secured federal money to buy the ones now in South Florida. A motorized DMU costs about $4.2 million, compared to $2 million to $3 million for a locomotive.
"It's kind of sad," Mica said about the demise of the DMU maker, Colorado Railcar. "But it is reflective of the economy and downturn of manufacturing in the U.S."
The SunRail trains are slated to run on existing CSX tracks from DeLand in Volusia County to Poinciana in Osceola County. The first 31 miles, from south Volusia to Sand Lake Road in Orange, are supposed to start running in 2011, with the remainder open in 2013.
The Hiawatha Rail Disaster
One of the arguments for light rail is that it is supposed to have lower operating costs than buses. But Minneapolis’ Hiawatha light rail is losing so much money that Hennepin County wants a region-wide sales tax to cover the costs of what Minnesota Governor Pawlenty calls “these very expensive transit projects.” The feds were subsidizing it with a $10 million grant, but that ended last year.
This one 11.6-mile light-rail line costs more than $20 million a year to operate. Farebox revenues cover only about a third of that. Half the rest is paid by the state of Minnesota and most of the other half comes from Hennepin County property taxes.
The light-rail line does not go outside of Hennepin County, so clearly most riders are residents of that county. But some commuters from Dakota and other nearby counties drive to park-and-ride stations and use the rail line. “There is no rational basis why the property taxpayers in Hennepin County ought to be paying for people from Dakota County to use the LRT line,” says one official.
But are they? Half the operating costs are paid by state taxpayers, including taxpayers from Dakota County. All of the construction costs were paid by federal and state taxpayers, including taxpayers from Dakota County. Considering the subsidies Hennepin County transit riders have received, they should pay Dakota County riders to take the train.
The Hiawatha light-rail line has received positive reviews, mainly because ridership exceeded the anemic projections made for it. Transit agencies have learned that politicians and editorial writers are basically innumerate, so instead of making unrealistically high projections of future ridership, they lowball the numbers.
The Hiawatha line was projected to carry only 9,000 riders a day who weren’t previously taking transit. Since Twin Cities daily auto travel grows by 9,000 trips about every two weeks, 9,000 riders a day (not all of whom would otherwise have driven a car) hardly justified the $480 million the line was projected to cost. Yet Ted Mondale (son of the former vice president and then-executive director of the Twin Cities’ regional government) touted the line as the solution to congestion.
Minnesota residents, who had to pay most of the construction costs, were in for a series of shocks after the legislature approved the project following rancorous debate. First, construction costs quickly escalated: the project ended up costing $715 million. Transit officials claimed these weren’t cost overruns and that they could have built the line for close to the original budget. But the local congressional delegation happened to “find” extra money for the project, so they spent it on things like station-area art. Even if true, it raises the question of why the transit agency so willingly spent hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars on things they claim they didn’t need.
When the rail line opened in 2004, auto drivers who expected congestion relief were stunned to find that light-rail significantly increased congestion. The line parallels Hiawatha Avenue, AKA state highway 55, and crosses many of the streets that cross Hiawatha. While signals on Hiawatha had previously been coordinated to allow smooth progression of traffic, the new arrangement gave the light-rail line signal priority over autos. This disrupted the signals on Hiawatha, adding 20 to 40 minutes to people’s commutes.
“This is not a sinister plot to make traffic as miserable as possible and move everybody onto the train,” a Minnesota Department of Transportation official told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. He was soon proven wrong. Documents uncovered by state Representative (and rail critic) Phil Krinkie soon proved him wrong. In 1999, the documents revealed, a consultant warned that giving light-rail signal priority would severely disrupt traffic. Yet the state decided to give the trains priority because, said a state planner, “transit had to have an advantage” over autos. After studying the problem for months, the state finally concluded that the traffic would have to stay disrupted because they did not want to interfere with their precious light-rail schedules.
Light rail opened for business on June 26, 2004. First fatal accident on September 26, 2004. Photo from Minnesota Daily
The Hiawatha light rail was involved in its first fatal accident just a few months after it opened. Transit officials blamed the late auto driver. The accident certainly was not the fault of planners who put 200,000-pound rail vehicles in the same grades and intersection as 2,000- to 3,000-pound automobiles.
The next shock came to transit riders who believed that light-rail would improve the entire regional transit system. Instead, the transit agency began cutting bus lines throughout the region. The agency claimed that these economy measures were unrelated to the cost of light rail. But if they did not have to spend $20 million on one transit route, they could have spent that money improving bus service elsewhere.
In 2000, before light-rail construction began, Twin Cities transit carried 73.5 million transit trips. In 2005, the first full year of light-rail operation, transit carried 69.7 million trips. Light-rail’s legacy is a 3.8-million trip decline in annual ridership.
Of course, none of these things bother rail advocates, who claim the Hiawatha line is a success story. Success for who? The pork-barrelling interests who built it? The transit officials who want a rail empire? It is certainly not a success for taxpayers, commuters, or transit riders.
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12/28: I remember when the liability bill went through last year: there was more pork than "Fatty" Arbuckle could handle.
From the Daytona Beach News Journal:
Pork on a rail
Volusia County is struggling to subsidize bus service to Orlando. What makes the County Council think it can run a railroad? This is a giant piece of pork brought to us courtesy of John Mica. In the end, we'll all suffer for it.
ROBERT WROTEN, Edgewater
12/26: BEEN THERE DONE THAT:
Commuter rail can take us only so far
By David Luberoff
November 3, 2006
The Boston Globe
FOR PEOPLE in many parts of Eastern Massachusetts, commuter rail is a convenient way to get to work. But whether it lives up to the more ambitious claims made on its behalf is another question entirely. Can commuter rail help bring back older cities like New Bedford, Fall River, and Springfield? Can commuter rail also stymie continued suburban sprawl in Greater Boston?
To many, including both Democratic gubernatorial candidate Deval Patrick and his rival, Republican candidate Kerry Healey, the answer seems to be yes. But the history of commuter rail in Massachusetts suggests that while commuter rail can be helpful, it generally has not revitalized communities or reduced sprawl.
Since the early 1970s, the state has provided hundreds of millions, perhaps several billion dollars to support and expand commuter rail service, which now stops at over 100 separate stations in Greater Boston. In the 1970s and 1980s, moreover, the state closed lines serving 39 other stations.
This history provides a natural experiment on how commuter rail service affects nearby communities. And it turns out that while commuter rail lines do carry thousands of people each day, they have not revitalized or significantly changed their host communities. That's the key finding in a new study by former Harvard graduate student Eric Beaton and published by the Rappaport Institute for Greater Boston (which I direct).
Beaton found that, in areas that had or gained rail service between 1971 and 1999, the use of more than 85 percent of the land did not change. Most commercial areas continued to be commercial areas; most residential areas stayed residential. When changes occurred, they generally saw open space converted to slightly more commercial and medium-density residential uses than in the region as a whole.
Beaton also found that while areas that had, gained or lost rail service are significantly denser than the region as a whole, density levels did not increase significantly in areas near new rail stations. Nor did they decrease in areas when nearby stations were closed. In other words, areas served by commuter rail tended to be dense at the outset, and losing rail service didn't change that.
Even more surprising, introducing commuter rail wasn't even associated with significant increases in transit ridership. Rather, people who started using new commuter rail stations merely stopped using buses or older rail stations. Any increases in transit ridership were so modest that the share of adults using transit to get to work in areas that gained commuter rail lines is still very close to the share of people in areas that lost that service.
From his data, Beaton concluded that " providing new commuter rail facilities is not likely to produce significant changes in travel and land use patterns." That's not to say that commuter rail has no benefits. Rather, it suggests that commuter rail can, at best, play a modest role supporting stringent efforts to increase density, reduce sprawl, and promote transit.
Commuter rail competes for public money with other transportation projects and a host of other priorities, from law enforcement to education.
Beaton's findings do not mean that we should cancel planned rail lines or close down existing lines. But they do suggest that we should rigorously analyze whether proposed, planned, and perhaps even existing commuter rail are efficient and equitable ways to achieve important public goals. The data also suggest that in doing so, we should focus most heavily on transportation benefits, such as reduced congestion or faster travel times.
Above all, the data suggest that we should be very wary of claims that commuter rail will also produce a variety of indirect benefits, such as reducing sprawl or revitalizing ailing communities. If we want to fulfill those goals, the key is to craft good zoning and land-use policies . Doing so isn't easy. Such policies involve telling property owners what they can and can't do with their land -- and telling residents of a community that they have to put up with more density than they might prefer. Commuter rail can play a small role in fighting sprawl, but it can't be the core strategy.
As carpenters know, you should always measure twice and cut once. The history of commuter rail in Massachusetts suggests we should measure again to see if massive new commuter rail projects are really as good as many seem to believe.
David Luberoff is executive director of Harvard's Rappaport Institute for Greater Boston.
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12/24:
America's Costly and
Ineffective Experiment with
New Commuter Rail
Located at
Texas Public Policy Foundation
Following Summary Reprinted from Policy Digest (National Center for Policy Analysis, 3 June 1999)
NEW COMMUTER RAILS ARE COSTLY AND INEFFECTIVE
Cities have viewed new commuter rail systems as a way to attract automobile drivers to public transportation, thereby reducing traffic congestion and the need for highway construction. Transportation expert Wendell Cox says the new systems have failed to attract travelers, and are more costly than other modes of public transportation or highways.
For decades, commuter rail has performed an important function in transporting people in cities such as New York, Boston, Philadelphia, Washington-Baltimore and San Francisco.
o Approximately 97 percent of the nation's commuter rail ridership is on these historic systems.
o Each day, 750,000 commuters in New York alone use the system, with 325,000 in Chicago, reducing congestion significantly in both cities.
o But relatively few commuters using the newer systems -- 25,000 daily in Los Angeles and only 1,900 in Dallas.
Furthermore, the cost of these systems is high in comparison with traditional public transportation or highway construction.
o Operating costs per passenger mile averages at $0.73, compared with $0.14 for the best express bus system or $0.33 for the average bus system.
o The total operating costs of a two-way highway are only $0.19 per passenger mile.
New commuter rail has been unable to attract meaningful numbers of automobile drivers.
o Generally, there is no travel time advantage, even when going downtown.
o Nearly 99.5 percent of urban locations are beyond walking distance of rail lines.
Alternatives, such as high occupancy vehicle (HOV) and high occupancy toll (HOT) lanes carry substantially more person trips than commuter lines operating in the same urban corridors.
The new commuter rail, therefore, has not been an effective alternative to highway construction.
Source: Wendell Cox, "America's Costly and Ineffective Experiment with New Commuter Rail, Part I: Lessons for the Austin/San Antonio Corridor," 1999 Texas Transit Opportunity Analysis, February 1999, Texas Public Policy Foundation, P.O. Box 40519, San Antonio, Texas 78229, (210) 614-0080.
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12/24:
Volusia still in on $1 billion commuter rail
(Is it me, or was this thing just 600 million not long ago? Norm)
By Al Everson
BEACON STAFF WRITER
"A big vision takes big leaders," Florida Department of Transportation District 5 Secretary Noranne Downs said, as she called on Volusia County to reaffirm its commitment to regional rail.
Despite economic uncertainty, financial straits at all levels of government, and lingering questions about who will be responsible for mishaps on the tracks, the Volusia County Council did so Dec. 18.
"Volusia County has been on board with commuter rail for many years," County Chair Frank Bruno said.
Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer and state transportation officials sat directly in front of him.
Unlike the County Council's earlier actions on the rail proposal, the support was not unanimous. Mindful of the rising price tag and the decline of state and local tax collections, Council Member Jack Hayman bolted from his colleagues.
"I think commuter rail is a great thing, but I just can't grasp how my grandchildren are gong to pay for it," Hayman said.
The long-planned commuter-rail system now has an estimated total cost of approximately $1 billion. The federal government is supposed to pay 50 percent, and the state is supposed to pay 25 percent.
"The state's in bad shape," Council Member Carl Persis said, alluding to the estimated $2 billion imbalance in Florida's current budget.
Pressed on the state's ability to meet its funding commitment, Downs said "the Legislature could go into the trust fund, anyway," and shift monies from some accounts to others to balance spending and cash on hand.
The remaining 25 percent of the cost is to be apportioned among the local jurisdictions to be served by the rail system.
Besides the capital outlays for such things as double tracking, new depots, trains, signals and other equipment, there will be ongoing expenses.
"Operations is going to be the devil in the details," Hayman said. "It's an entirely different economy than we had before."
County Manager Jim Dinneen acknowledged leaders are still unclear about how the county will pay its share, which is supposed to come out of the general fund.
The state is supposed to pay the local partners' bonded capital debts and rail operating expenses for the first seven years, "to give us time to work out a dedicated funding source," Bruno said.
One possible source is a local-option sales tax.
Fares alone will not be enough; government subsidies will be required to build and operate the rail line.
Also, the liability of the different parties is still unresolved. The Florida Legislature last spring failed to agree on how liability would be shared among CSX, the state and other parties. The liability comes into play "if there is a train wreck," Dyer said.
Volusia County is one of five local governments — along with Orange, Seminole and Osceola counties and the City of Orlando — working with the Florida Department of Transportation and the Federal Transit Administration to establish a 61-mile commuter-rail system linking DeLand with Orlando and even Poinciana.
A new agency, the Central Florida Commuter Rail Commission, includes elected officials from the four counties and Orlando, and it will become the operating entity of the system.
Commuter rail uses advanced diesel trains to move people to and from work in outlying areas to workplaces in Greater Orlando, and to relieve congestion on an already overburdened Interstate 4.
U.S. Rep. John Mica, R-Winter Park, has been a leading proponent of the commuter rail since the Orange County Commission voted down a plan for light rail connecting Downtown Orlando and the Orlando International Airport in late 1999.
The commuter-rail project is planned in two phases. Phase I is to extend from DeBary to Sand Lake Road on the south side of Orlando. The first trains on this portion are scheduled to begin operating in 2011, after a new depot is built along Fort Florida Road in DeBary.
Phase II, which may become operational in 2013, will extend to the DeLand Amtrak station on the north and to Poinciana on the south. The commuter rail will use 61 miles of the CSX rail right of way, which the state purchased in 2005.
"In my opinion, the DeLand station is what will open it up to the east side and the west side," County Council Member Andy Kelly said.
As state and local leaders currently envision it, the four-county commuter rail will be the first part of a new mass-transit network that will branch out to other parts of Central Florida and link up with other metropolitan areas.
Once the short-haul system is in place, advocates have suggested, it could be enlarged to include rail service to Orlando International Airport, the University of Central Florida, and Daytona Beach.
"Jacksonville and Tampa want to connect," Dyer said.
Even though its cost is going up, commuter rail will be a less expensive form of transportation in the years ahead, supporters claim, as the costs of building new highways rise and if the nation moves toward more energy-efficient transportation.
"It is our future," Council Vice Chair Joie Alexander said. "When we're looking 20 or 30 years down the road, we have to do this."
The County Council joined other partners in supporting a proposed name and logo for the rail system: Sunrail.
MyRegion, an inter-county think tank, received more than 300 suggested names and ideas for designating the system and recommended Sunrail as its top pick.
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12/22:
Please notice the paragraph in red about who is invited to this shin-dig:
The East Central Florida Regional Planning Council is hosting a January 29, 2009 Workshop with nationally renowned author, planner and speaker Randall Arendt. Randall will present his latest seminar entitled “Reclaiming the Commercial Strip.". This is going to be great opportunity for planners, commercial property owners, developers, elected officials and the public to envision a very different look to our aging commercial corridors.
The program is an educational primer on redeveloping old commercial corridors into mixed use transit ready corridors. This is especially timely as we prepare for the advent of Commuter Rail in Central Florida.
The balance of the program is entitled "Creating Transit Friendly Communities”. For this part of the program DOT’s Commuter Rail Project Manager Tawney Olore will present an update on Commuter Rail Stop development and potential redevelopment sites in Central Florida.
The seminar will conclude with a speaker's panel focusing on transportation and land use planning opportunities and challenges in creating transit friendly communities.
The timing of this seminar could not be better to create a common level of understanding in preparing the region for commuter rail and associated redevelopment. The focus of the seminar is to bring together planners, developers, engineers, architects, investors and public officials to discuss the opportunities, challenges and successes of commercial and transit oriented redevelopment.
Total cost to put on this seminar is approximately $5,000. As principal sponsor, the ECFRPC is donating at least $1,000. We are now seeking other sponsors and we invite you to participate. Any amount would be appreciated, but if we could attract sponsors from $200-$500 we could offer this seminar as an AICP continuing education credit opportunity(being requested) for planners at little or no charge to them. We expect to be able to attract at least 100 to the conference.
We have a great many Transit Oriented Design projects now underway and we would like you to help us tell their story so we also will be asking many of you to join us on the panel.
Thank you. I look forward to your response and working with you on this timely and educational seminar and potential sponsorship
Tara M. McCue
East Central Florida Regional Planning Council
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